令特朗普没想到的是，印度居然最先背叛，中国将成为莫迪新选择

Group 1 - The U.S. is facing unexpected retaliation from India, a key strategic partner in the Asia-Pacific region, which plans to impose tariffs on U.S. goods [1][6] - The U.S. has accused India of high tariff barriers that severely limit the entry of American agricultural products, particularly corn, soybeans, wheat, and dairy [3][4] - India's agricultural sector is crucial to its economy, accounting for approximately 16% of GDP, and a significant portion of the population relies on agriculture for their livelihood [4] Group 2 - India has officially notified the WTO of its plan to impose tariffs on U.S. automobiles and parts, amounting to $2.89 billion, in response to previous U.S. tariffs [6] - The expected reduction in India's exports of automotive parts to the U.S. in 2024 is projected to be 12.1%, equating to a decrease of approximately $339 million [6] - The increase in tariffs could lead to a 15% rise in tire import costs for the U.S., impacting manufacturers like Tesla [8] Group 3 - If these tariffs are enacted, U.S. farmers may face significant challenges, including unsold goods and price drops, with apple prices potentially decreasing by 30% in the Indian market [9] - The U.S. may retaliate by restoring or increasing tariffs on Indian goods, with a potential $7.6 billion worth of Indian products facing a 26% tariff [9] - The U.S. could also challenge India's retaliatory measures through the WTO, despite the current suspension of the appellate body [9] Group 4 - India remains unfazed by the trade conflict, as it plays a critical role in U.S. security strategies in the Indo-Pacific region [10] - The large Indian market is vital for U.S. companies, with significant investments from tech giants like Apple and Google [10] - If the trade war escalates, India may seek new economic partners, presenting potential opportunities for neighboring countries like China [10]