惊天警告！各国央行都开始担心美国“赖账”

Group 1 - A survey commissioned by UBS found that nearly half of the central bank reserve managers believe a U.S. debt restructuring is a possible scenario [1] - Two-thirds of respondents expressed concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, and nearly half were uneasy about the quality of U.S. economic data and the weakening of the rule of law [1] - Despite concerns, 80% of respondents predict that the dollar will remain the world's reserve currency, although there is a growing drive for reserve diversification [1] Group 2 - Geopolitical issues remain a primary concern for central banks, but the potential impact of the Trump administration's trade and international alliance policies has become the top risk, with 74% of respondents mentioning it [2] - There is a significant increase in pessimism regarding the global economic outlook, with an equal number of respondents now expecting "stagflation" as the most likely outcome [2] - Nearly all reserve managers maintain a belief in diversification, with 67% considering gold to be the best-performing asset class until the end of the decade, a significant drop from 21% in the previous year's survey [2] Group 3 - Only one participant indicated that their central bank is considering investing in Bitcoin, although 13% believe Bitcoin will be the best-performing asset over the next five years [3]