KWEICHOW MOUTAI(SH:600519) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-11 01:50Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the market circulation price of Feitian Moutai has sparked discussions within the liquor industry and society at large, indicating potential challenges for the high-end liquor market and the overall growth of Kweichow Moutai [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since last year, the market circulation price of Feitian Moutai has been on a downward trend, recently falling below 1800 yuan per bottle [4]. - The decline in price is influenced by various factors, including the off-peak season for liquor consumption and aggressive promotions on e-commerce platforms [4]. - The issuance of the "strictest ban on alcohol" has had a significant impact on the liquor industry, leading to immediate stock price drops and reduced consumption scenarios [4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The overall liquor industry has experienced a decline, with a reported 1.8% year-on-year decrease in the production of liquor by large-scale enterprises in 2024, marking a continuous decline over several years [5]. - Young consumers are showing decreasing acceptance and loyalty towards traditional liquor, opting instead for new-style beverages, which poses a challenge for the industry [5]. - The internationalization of liquor is largely limited to the overseas Chinese community, further complicating growth prospects [5]. Group 3: Opportunities and Adaptations - Despite challenges, leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye are capturing market share from smaller brands, indicating a shift in industry dynamics [5]. - The liquor industry is witnessing new opportunities, particularly for products with cultural, health, and personalized attributes that appeal to younger generations [5]. - Liquor companies are actively adapting by positioning themselves strategically, launching culturally relevant products, and fostering healthier channel ecosystems through collaboration with distributors [6].