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康耐特光学(02276.HK)2025H1正面盈利预告点评:产品结构升级带动利润超预期 XR业务卡位优势显著

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong sales growth in high refractive index and functional products, leading to an improved product mix and higher average selling prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit growth of no less than 30% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [1] - The revenue from the company's self-owned brand business is projected to reach 1.15 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.5% and accounting for 55.8% of total revenue, an increase of 3.3 percentage points [2] Group 2: Product and Market Development - The company has a strong manufacturing capability and is focusing on developing its own brand and domestic market, which is driving steady revenue growth and improved profitability [2] - The company has over 7 million SKUs, allowing it to meet diverse customer needs, and maintains close cooperation with upstream raw material suppliers [2] - The XR business is positioned advantageously, with the company collaborating with leading global technology and consumer electronics firms [3] Group 3: Industry Trends - The smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with the second-generation Ray-Ban Meta expected to sell 1.42 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 209% [3] - Smart glasses are anticipated to replace various traditional devices, with significant market potential as they offer dual attributes of smart wearables and traditional eyewear [4] - The global demand for traditional eyewear products is robust, with significant sales volumes projected for reading glasses and sunglasses in 2024 [4] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - The company has adjusted its stock incentive plan to reflect confidence in long-term growth, extending the assessment period from three to four years [5] - The company is a leading player in lens manufacturing, with a solid product SKU matrix and strong supply chain advantages [6] - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 550 million, 682 million, and 840 million yuan, respectively, reflecting expected growth rates of 28.5%, 24.0%, and 23.1% [6]