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康耐特光学(02276.HK)2025年业绩预告和事件点评:公司业绩延续高增 携手歌尔光学成立合资公司加速产业链整合
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-23 22:03
同配合, 优化研发和生产能力, 拓展定制镜片在AI/AR/VR/MR 眼镜的应用市场,推动双方行业定位与 全球发展战略。 AI 眼镜全球销量预期提升,公司XR 业务顺利推进。2025 年下半年,海外Meta、国内阿里和百度等均 有多款AI 眼镜上市,后续字节、苹果、谷歌、亚马逊等国内外大厂均计划推出相关产品,AI 眼镜全球 销量预期提升,预计2025 年为700 万副,2026 年达到1800 万副,2030 年有望达到9000 万副,有望实现 指数级增长。公司XR 业务顺利推进,截至2025年8 月31 日已累计收入约1000 万元,随着与国内外客户 合作项目陆续扩大试生产规模或进一步进入正式量产,XR 业务收入有望进一步增长。 机构:东北证券 研究员:陈渊文/赵宇天 事件:公司发布正面盈利预告,预计2025年股东应占净利润同比增长不低于30%,主要系(1)1.74 折 射率镜片及其他多功能产品销量增加;(2)规模化效应持续放大及机械自动化水平提高;(3)融资结 构优化带动资金收益提高及融资成本降低。 点评: 携手歌尔光学成立合资公司,AI 眼镜产业链加速整合。1 月19 日,康耐特光学全资子公司朝日镜片与 ...
康耐特光学(02276):公司业绩延续高增,携手歌尔光学成立合资公司加速产业链整合
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2026-01-22 06:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to grow by no less than 30% year-on-year, driven by increased sales of 1.74 refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products, ongoing scale effects, improved automation, and optimized financing structure [1][4]. - A joint venture with Goer Optical has been established to accelerate the integration of the AI glasses supply chain, focusing on customized lenses and optical components for AI/AR/VR/MR applications [2][3]. - Global sales of AI glasses are expected to rise significantly, with projections of 7 million units in 2025 and 18 million units in 2026, indicating exponential growth potential [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 23.51 billion, 27.65 billion, and 32.22 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 5.65 billion, 7.03 billion, and 8.61 billion yuan [4][5]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.03 yuan in 2024 to 1.79 yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [5]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve, with net profit margins of 20.8% in 2024 and reaching 26.7% by 2027 [5][13].
康耐特光学(02276.HK)重大事项点评:子公司朝日光学和歌尔光学拟成立合资公司 XR 业务进展有望加速
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 06:04
从"部件供应商"升级为"解决方案提供者",价值链地位提升。康耐特光学与歌尔光学成立合资公司的举 措,是一次"优势互补、协同增强"的战略联盟,为康耐特赢得了更稳固的客户入口、更强的综合解决方 案能力和更长期的成长确定性,公司有望从"镜片解决方案提供者"过渡到"智能眼镜生态位卡位",从而 在推新过程中持续强化供应链竞争优势并引领行业技术路径。 智能眼镜催化频频,持续看好公司卡位优势。公司积极布局智能眼镜赛道,海外客户合作项目数量持续 增加,现有项目稳步推进,个别重点项目工作重心从前期的产品功能实现和技术路线验证,转向下一步 的扩大生产规模;同时,国内客户个别重点项目已实现产品交付,终端用户反馈良好。近期Meta 上调 Ray-Ban 产能、千问大模型升级,智能眼镜生态硬件协同成型,持续放量可期。 机构:华创证券 研究员:刘一怡 事项: 朝日光学(康耐特光学全资子公司)与歌尔光学拟成立合资公司负责研发、生产和销售应用于 AI/AR/VR/MR 眼镜领域的树脂镜片和光波导镜片等产品,双方分别持股30%/70%。 评论: 投资建议:镜片制造龙头企业,积极培育智能眼镜第二成长曲线。康耐特光学深耕眼镜制造行业,内外 销齐头 ...
康耐特光学(2276.HK)2025业绩预告点评:业绩预增30% 智能眼镜景气持续
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 06:04
机构:国泰海通证券 研究员:刘越男/范佳博 维持增持。考虑到受益智能眼镜发展趋势且产品结构优化,我们上调预测公司2025-2027 年归母净利至 5.6/7.0/8.6 亿元人民币 (原5.35/6.50/7.86 亿元),增速31%/26%/23%,;参考可比公司估值,给予公司 2026 年45 倍PE,给予目标价72.5 元港币(按照1 港元=0.91元人民币折算),维持增持。维持增持。 公司发布正面盈利预告,预期2025 年股东应占净利将较2024 年增加不少于30%。1)2025 年净利高增 主要因:①1.74 折射率镜片及其他多功能产品销量增加;②本公司的规模化效应持续放大及机械自动化 水平提高;③本公司积极优化融资结构,提高资金收益及降低融资成本2)经过测算,按年度看,2025 实现股东应占净利不低于5.57 亿元/同比增长不低于30%;按半年度看,25Q4 实现股东应占净利不低于 2.83 亿元/同比增长不低于29.3%。 超额完成激励目标,智能眼镜布局加速。公司24H2/25H1 归母净利润分别实现增速+30.3%/+30.7%, 25H2 增速不低于29.3%,单H 利润增速稳健;同时根据2 ...
国泰海通证券:维持康耐特光学“增持”评级 2025业绩预增30% 智能眼镜景气持续
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 03:18
超额完成激励目标,智能眼镜布局加速 公司24H2/25H1归母净利润分别实现增速+30.3%/+30.7%,25H2增速不低于29.3%,单H利润增速稳健; 同时根据2024年股权激励,2025年度目标为公司归母净利润(剔除股份激励费用后)同比增长不低于 21%,超额完成利润目标。近期公司智能眼镜业务迎来催化:1)12月30日,2026年国补政策发布,数码 产品购新补贴拓展智能眼镜和智能家居产品品类。2)Meta Platforms和依视路陆逊梯卡正在商讨2026年 底前将AI眼镜的产能提升至2000万副以上。3)公司成为阿里夸克AI眼镜的独家镜片供应商。公司目前持 续拓展XR业务,智能眼镜布局加速。 国泰海通证券主要观点如下: 公司发布正面盈利预告,预期2025年股东应占净利将较2024年增加不少于30% 1)2025年净利高增主要因:①1.74折射率镜片及其他多功能产品销量增加;②本公司的规模化效应持续放 大及机械自动化水平提高;③本公司积极优化融资结构,提高资金收益及降低融资成本2)经过测算,按 年度看,2025实现股东应占净利不低于5.57亿元/同比增长不低于30%;按半年度看,25Q4实现股东应占 ...
国泰海通证券:维持康耐特光学(02276)“增持”评级 2025业绩预增30% 智能眼镜景气持续
智通财经网· 2026-01-21 03:17
智通财经APP获悉,国泰海通证券发布研报称,维持康耐特光学(02276)"增持"评级,公司为全球镜片龙 头企业,SKU丰富+性价比突出+产品结构优化+C2M模式高效,推动盈利能力不断增强、市场份额稳步 提升;且贴合式或为智能眼镜近视解决方案的最优解,公司未来望进一步突破国内外智能眼镜领域的重 要客户,发展有望更上层楼。 国泰海通证券主要观点如下: 公司24H2/25H1归母净利润分别实现增速+30.3%/+30.7%,25H2增速不低于29.3%,单H利润增速稳健; 同时根据2024年股权激励,2025年度目标为公司归母净利润(剔除股份激励费用后)同比增长不低于 21%,超额完成利润目标。近期公司智能眼镜业务迎来催化:1)12月30日,2026年国补政策发布,数码 产品购新补贴拓展智能眼镜和智能家居产品品类。2)Meta Platforms和依视路陆逊梯卡正在商讨2026年 底前将AI眼镜的产能提升至2000万副以上。3)公司成为阿里夸克AI眼镜的独家镜片供应商。公司目前持 续拓展XR业务,智能眼镜布局加速。 风险提示 公司发布正面盈利预告,预期2025年股东应占净利将较2024年增加不少于30% 定制镜片、 ...
康耐特光学(02276):2025业绩预告点评:业绩预增30%,智能眼镜景气持续
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-21 02:56
业绩预增 30%,智能眼镜景气持续 康耐特光学(2276) 康耐特光学 2025 业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 范佳博(研究助理) | 021-38053328 | fanjiabo@gtht.com | S0880125120019 | 本报告导读: 2025 年业绩预增不少于 30%,得益于智能眼镜产业发展趋势,业务景气度持续。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 1,760 | 2,061 | 2,374 | 2,810 | 3,282 | | (+/-)% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.8% | | 毛利润 | 658 | 795 ...
康耐特光学(02276.HK):预计2025年业绩高增 智能眼镜产业催化密集
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-20 14:02
Core Viewpoint - The company has issued a positive profit forecast, expecting a year-on-year growth of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the year 2025, driven by increased sales of high-refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products, ongoing scale effects, and improved financing structure [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Forecast - The company anticipates significant growth in net profit for 2025, with a projected increase of at least 30% year-on-year [1] - Key drivers for this growth include increased sales of 1.74 refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products, continued scale effects, and enhanced automation levels [1] - The company has received approximately RMB 10 million in revenue from its XR business as of August 31, 2025, with expectations for further growth in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026 [1] Group 2: Industry Trends and Collaborations - The company is the exclusive lens supplier for Alibaba's Quark AI glasses, indicating strong collaboration with major domestic clients [2] - The inclusion of smart glasses in the new consumer upgrade policy is expected to lower consumer thresholds and enhance market penetration [2] - Internationally, Meta Platforms and Essilor Luxottica are discussing plans to double AI glasses production capacity by the end of 2026, reflecting a growing interest in the smart glasses market [2] Group 3: Production and Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its overseas production capacity, with a new automated facility in Japan focusing on progressive lenses and youth vision health products [3] - The Thai production base is also progressing steadily, which is expected to enhance the company's market share and brand premium in overseas markets [3] Group 4: Financial Adjustments and Ratings - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, now expecting net profits of RMB 561 million, 682 million, and 821 million for 2025-2027, respectively [3] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 47X, 38X, and 32X for the same period [3]
康耐特光学(02276.HK):预告2025年归母净利润同增超30% 千问接入阿里生态赋能夸克AI眼镜
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-20 14:02
Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a more than 30% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, driven by increased sales of 1.74 refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products, ongoing scale effects, improved automation, and optimized financing structure [1] Group 1: Performance Preview - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to increase by no less than 30% due to several factors [1] - Sales of 1.74 refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products are anticipated to rise [1] - The company benefits from scale effects and enhanced mechanical automation levels [1] - Optimizing the financing structure is expected to improve fund returns and reduce financing costs [1] Group 2: Key Focus Areas - The integration of the Qianwen model into Alibaba's ecosystem is expected to enhance the functionality of Quark AI glasses, improving user experience and market share [1] - The global smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with IDC reporting a 74.1% year-on-year increase in shipments in Q3 2025, and Meta planning to expand production of Ray-Ban AI glasses [1] - The company is positioned to maintain its leading advantage as a core optical supplier, benefiting from the sales growth driven by the Qianwen ecosystem [1] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 3% to 566 million and 701 million respectively, and introduced a profit forecast for 2027 at 916 million [2] - The target price has been raised by 12% to 65 HKD, reflecting an 8% upside potential from the current stock price [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 37/28 times for 2026/2027 [2]
中金:升康耐特光学目标价12%至65港元 上调盈测
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 07:07
Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that 康耐特光学 (02276) expects a profit increase of no less than 30% for 2025, driven by increased sales of 1.74 refractive index lenses and other multifunctional products, ongoing scale effects, improved automation, and optimized financing structure [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a profit of 566 million RMB for 2025 and 701 million RMB for 2026, reflecting an upward revision of 3% for both years [2] - The 2027 profit forecast is introduced at 916 million RMB, with a valuation switch to 2026, resulting in a current stock price corresponding to 37 times and 28 times the earnings multiples for 2026 and 2027 respectively [2] Group 2: Market Position and Opportunities - The integration of the 千问 model into the Alibaba ecosystem is expected to enhance the functionality of the Quark AI glasses, improving user experience and market share [1] - The AI glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with Meta planning to expand production of Ray-Ban AI glasses, creating opportunities for upstream supply chains [1] - 康耐特光学 is well-positioned to maintain its leading advantage as a core optical supplier [1]