Bank of America(US:BAC) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-11 05:41Group 1 - The US dollar experienced its worst first half since 1973, but Bank of America suggests limited downside for the dollar in the second half of the year [1] - The analysis indicates that the dollar's price movements are no longer highly correlated with the probability of Federal Reserve rate cuts, but there remains a +71% correlation with the market pricing of the Fed's 2025 interest rates during US trading hours [1] - If the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates for the remainder of the year, it is expected to provide moderate support for the dollar during US trading hours [1] Group 2 - Asian investors have been the primary sellers of the dollar this year, but their motivation to sell may weaken as they await new catalysts for a bearish dollar trend [1] - In the European trading session, there is still significant room for dollar depreciation, which may require global stock markets to outperform US markets for this to occur [1] - Foreign investors' motivation to increase holdings in other currencies to hedge against dollar assets has diminished, despite global stock markets performing better than US markets in Q1 [2]