Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong growth in global package volume, driven by significant performance in the Southeast Asian market and stable growth in China, leading to a maintained buy rating. Group 1: Operational Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's global package volume reached 7.39 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 23.5% [1] - The Southeast Asian market showed robust growth, with package volume increasing by 65.9% to 1.69 billion pieces, achieving a record high growth rate since its listing [1] - The Chinese market maintained steady growth, with package volume reaching 5.61 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 14.7% [1] - New market package volume increased by 23.7% to 8.94 million pieces [1] Group 2: Efficiency and Automation - The company enhanced its operational efficiency through structural adjustments, adding 700 new outlets in Southeast Asia and reducing 300 outlets in China to focus on a "smaller but more efficient" model [2] - The number of mainline vehicles in Southeast Asia increased by 800 to accommodate rapid package volume growth [2] - In China, while the number of third-party vehicles decreased by 600, the number of automated sorting lines increased by 44 to 270, highlighting the company's strategy of "technology-driven efficiency" [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The Southeast Asian e-commerce boom is expected to continue supporting the company's growth, aided by strategic partnerships with major e-commerce platforms like Shopee, Lazada, and TikTok Shop [3] - During a promotional event on June 6, 2025, Southeast Asia's cross-border e-commerce GMV surged by 123%, with order volume and active product counts also showing significant increases [3] - The Chinese market is anticipated to see a release in profit margins due to efficiency optimization and government policies aimed at reducing "involution" in competition [3] - The company projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.728 billion, 4.485 billion, and 6.341 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 240.1%, 64.4%, and 41.4% respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.30, 0.50, and 0.71 yuan per share [3]
深度*公司*极兔速递-W(01519.HK)：二季度东南亚市场表现强劲 单季度包裹量增速创上市以来新高