从“钢铁侠”到“美国党”创始人的跨界豪赌：马斯克能坚持多久？

Group 1 - Elon Musk announced the formation of a new political party called the "American Party" to challenge the existing two-party system in the U.S. [1][8] - This marks Musk's second high-profile political attempt in 2023, following a brief tenure as the head of the efficiency department under the Trump administration [1][6]. - Musk's political ambitions are seen as a significant shift from his focus on technology and business, raising questions about the feasibility of his political endeavors [5][10]. Group 2 - Musk's political involvement has included substantial financial contributions to various political figures, including $2.5 million to the Republican National Committee and $2.59 billion to support Trump [6][10]. - His recent support for Trump has shifted to a more confrontational stance, particularly after the passage of a significant spending bill that Musk opposes [8][10]. - The "American Party" aims to represent the "middle 80%" of voters, but its ability to create a cohesive political force remains uncertain [11][12]. Group 3 - Establishing a new political party in the U.S. faces significant legal and logistical challenges, including complex registration processes across different states [11][12]. - Historical precedents show that third-party candidates often struggle to gain traction in the U.S. political landscape, as evidenced by past attempts that failed to secure significant electoral success [12][16]. - Musk's wealth may provide some advantages, but the inherent obstacles of the two-party system could limit the effectiveness of the "American Party" [12][16]. Group 4 - Analysts suggest that Musk's "American Party" could disrupt the Republican Party's electoral base, particularly in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections [15][16]. - The potential for backlash from the Republican establishment is significant, as Musk's political activities may threaten their control in Congress [15][16]. - The future of the "American Party" and Musk's commitment to it remain uncertain, with questions about whether he can maintain focus amidst ongoing political challenges [18][19].