騰訊500元關口爭奪戰：短線佈局策略全解析

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings is currently experiencing a tug-of-war around the 500 HKD mark, with the stock price at 507 HKD, indicating a technical stalemate [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is barely above the MA10 at 499.91 HKD but is constrained by the MA30 at 506.84 HKD, showing mixed indicator performance [1] - The overall technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal with a strength of only 9 points, while the bullish-bearish strength indicator shows a "buy" signal [1] - The RSI is at 51, indicating a neutral zone, and a 2.8% five-day volatility reflects a strong market wait-and-see atmosphere [1] Key Support and Resistance Levels - Key support is at 487 HKD, with a strong support zone at 470 HKD; resistance is at 518 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge 535 HKD [3] - The current probability of an upward movement is 54%, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces [3] Product Performance - UBS bull certificate (69944) has performed well, surging 49% in two days with the underlying stock up 1.19%, showcasing high leverage characteristics [3] - HSBC bull certificate (69321) also performed strongly, increasing by 44% [3] - For call options, Bank of China call certificates (13873 and 29579) recorded increases of 16% and 12%, respectively [3] Investment Options - Investors with a bullish outlook can consider Bank of China call certificate 29579, which offers a leverage of 14.8 times with the lowest premium among similar products [6] - For those expecting significant upward movement, Bank of China call certificate 13873 provides a leverage of 17.8 times, although its premium is slightly higher but still reasonable [6] - For investors preferring bull certificates, UBS bull certificate 69944 offers an actual leverage of 18.4 times with a low premium [6] Hedging Options - For cautious investors, Citibank put certificate 15235 offers a leverage of 22.3 times with a relatively low premium, making it a primary choice for bearish outlooks [10] - For expectations of significant downturns, Societe Generale bear certificate 60438 provides a high leverage of 30.6 times with a recovery price set at 522 HKD [10] - UBS bear certificate 61324 also features a leverage of 30.6 times, with a recovery price of 520 HKD, providing a good risk-return ratio [10]