| 公司名称 | 持股额变动 | 持股数变动 | | --- | --- | --- | | 小米集团－Ｗ(01810) | +34.20亿元 | +8151.28万股 | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | +12.67亿元 | +582.97万股 | | 工商银行(01398) | +11.24亿元 | +17260.70万股 | | 中国平安(02318) | +9.84亿元 | +1653.11万股 | | 中国人寿(02628) | +9.65亿元 | +3577.35万股 | | 华润万象生活(01209) | +8.41亿元 | +1902.18万股 | | 中国石油股份(00857) | +8.17亿元 | +9230.60万股 | | 中国海洋石油(00883) | +8.00亿元 | +3554.89万股 | | 建设银行(00939) | +7.70亿元 | +9349.10万股 | | 中国银行(03988) | +6.91亿元 | +14631.40万股 | 3、港股通最近5个交易日减持榜（前10名） 智通财经APP获悉，根据2025年11月17日披露数据，中国电信（00728）、中远海 ...

智通财经APP获悉，11月13日,阿里巴巴-W（09988）、小米集团-W（01810）、华润万象生活 （01209）南向资金净流入金额位列市场前三，分别净流入13.15 亿、7.77 亿、6.71 亿 盈富基金（02800）、恒生中国企业（02828）、腾讯控股（00700）南向资金净流出金额位列市场前 三，分别净流出-62.19 亿、-22.83 亿、-8.78 亿 在净流出比方面，中集集团（02039）、绿城管理控股（09979）、361度（01361） 以-59.72%、-56.62%、-56.52%位列市场前三。 | 股票名称 | 净流入比↓ | 净流入(元) | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 南方港美科技(03442) | 88.11% | 1.10 亿 | 9.435（+0.05%） | | 南方东西精选(03441) | 74.90% | 1930.75 万 | 10.580（-0.47%） | | 至源控股(00990) | 62.95% | 1787.74 万 | 0.760（+1.33%） | | 深圳高速公路股份 | 60.48% | 645.88 ...

大型蓝筹股多数下跌，汇丰控股收报110.738港元，较香港收市跌1.21%；腾讯控股收报629.180港元，较香港收市跌1.15%。 | 序号 | 名称 | 港股代码 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | ADRICH | ADR换算价(HKD) | 较港股升跌 较 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 腾讯控股 | ○ 00700 | 636.500 | -4.500 | -0.70% | TCEHY | 629.180 | -7.320 | | 2 | 阿里巴巴-W | 09988 | 154.900 | 0.000 | 0.00% | BABA | 153.262 | -1.638 | | 3 | 建设银行 | 00939 | 8.240 | -0.110 | -1.32% | CICHY | 8.190 | -0.050 | | 4 | 汇丰控股 | 00005 | 112.100 | -0.800 | -0.71% | HSBC | 110.738 | -1.362 | | 5 | 小米集团-W | 0181 ...

机构：国信证券 研究员：张伦可/陈淑媛 收入同比增长15%，经调整利润同比增长18%。2025Q3，腾讯实现营收1929亿元，同比增长15.4%。主 要增长由广告和游戏业务贡献。经调整经营利润25Q3 为726 亿元，同比增长18%。Non-IFRS 归母净利 润706 亿元，同比增长18%；经营利润率提升主要来自于收入组合中高毛利率业务占比提升，各项业务 高质量发展。25Q3，公司综合毛利率56%，同比提升3pct。其中，增值服务/网络广告/金融科技与企业 服务毛利率同比提升4pct/4pct/2pct。游戏业务持续优化渠道成本，高毛利率的自研游戏三角洲行动发 力；支付服务及云服务成本效益的提高。 Capex 受限于供应，研发费用创历史新高。25Q3，销售费率5.9%，同比上升0.3pct。管理研发费率 17.8%，同比上升0.4pct，研发支出费用25Q3同比增长28%至228 亿元，创单季历史新高，体现公司在AI 方面人才等方面的积极储备。Capex 方面，25Q3 为130 亿元，同比-24%，公司略下调全年预期，主要 受限于芯片供应等。现金Capex 方面，25Q3 为200 亿，同比增长67%。 ...

Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 results with revenue of 192.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%, exceeding consensus expectations of 188.8 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit reached 108.8 billion yuan, up 23% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, also above the consensus estimate of 106.4 billion yuan [1] - Non-IFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was 70.6 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase and a 2% quarter-on-quarter increase, surpassing the consensus forecast of 66 billion yuan [1] Business Segments Summary Online Gaming - Q3 2025 revenue from online gaming was 63.6 billion yuan, exceeding the consensus estimate of 60.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23% [1] - Domestic revenue grew 15% to 42.8 billion yuan, driven by the success of "Delta Operation" launched in September 2024, along with revenue growth from established titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" [1] - International gaming revenue surged 43% to 20.8 billion yuan, supported by growth from Supercell games and the recent acquisition of a game studio [1] Social Networking - Q3 2025 revenue from social networking was 32.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, slightly below the consensus estimate of 32.8 billion yuan [2] - Growth was primarily driven by increases in music subscription services, video live streaming, and mini-game platform service fees [2] - Tencent Music's online music subscription business performed well, with paid users rising to 125.7 million, a 5.6% year-on-year increase [2] Marketing Services - Q3 2025 revenue from marketing services was 36.2 billion yuan, exceeding the consensus estimate of 35.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21% [2] - Growth was attributed to increased ad exposure, improved user engagement, and AI-driven optimization of ad placements [2] Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Q3 2025 revenue from financial technology and enterprise services was 58.2 billion yuan, slightly above the consensus estimate of 58.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [2] - Financial technology revenue saw modest growth driven by commercial payments and consumer loans, while enterprise services benefited from increased demand for AI-related services [2] Operational Performance and Profitability - The company achieved a gross profit of 108.8 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 23% year-on-year increase, supported by high-margin businesses and improved cost efficiency in cloud services [3] - Gross margin reached 56.4%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year and 0.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - Non-IFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was 70.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18% [3] AI Developments - The company is actively expanding its AI capabilities across various sectors, including enhancing AI features in WeChat and integrating AI into enterprise WeChat [4] - AI is being utilized in game content creation and marketing strategies for popular titles [4] - The company is also enhancing AI applications in advertising, particularly in product recommendations and ad placement systems [4] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a "strong buy" investment rating, supported by robust core business performance and significant improvements in AI-driven efficiencies across various business lines [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are expected to reach 753.5 billion, 832.5 billion, and 907.7 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 260.2 billion, 293.6 billion, and 325.4 billion yuan respectively [5]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings reported Q3 2025 revenue of 192.9 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 2% [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders reached 70.6 billion yuan, up 18% year-on-year, surpassing consensus expectations by 7% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Gross profit growth rate (22%) outpaced adjusted operating profit growth (18%) and adjusted net profit growth (18%), while revenue growth was at 15% [1] - Revenue from value-added services and advertising exceeded expectations, with significant contributions from overseas gaming [1] - International and domestic game revenues grew by 43% and 15% year-on-year, respectively, with domestic game revenue maintaining a high level at 42.8 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Advertising and AI Integration - Advertising revenue grew by 21% year-on-year, driven by improved loading rates and AI-driven eCPM enhancements [2] - The launch of the intelligent advertising product matrix, Tencent Advertising AIM+, contributed to revenue growth [2] - Financial technology services revenue increased by 10%, supported by growth in commercial payments and consumer loan services [2] Group 3: Capital Expenditure and AI Development - Capital expenditure for Q3 2025 was 13 billion yuan, accounting for 6.7% of revenue, with a total of 59.6 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing 10.7% of revenue [2] - Market pricing for Tencent's AI capabilities is considered insufficient, with advancements in complex reasoning and image generation models [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company raised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 260.2 billion, 300.7 billion, and 337.3 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The target price based on the SOTP valuation method is set at 791 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 23.4% [3]

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 192.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 63.1 billion yuan, up 19% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, projecting net profits of 226.4 billion, 256.2 billion, and 288.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Value-added services revenue was 95.9 billion yuan, a 16% year-on-year increase, with domestic game revenue at 42.8 billion yuan (up 15%) and overseas game revenue at 20.8 billion yuan (up 43%) [1] - Social network revenue was 32.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth [1] - Marketing services revenue increased to 36.2 billion yuan, up 21% year-on-year, driven by higher user engagement and improved ad loading rates [1] - Financial technology services revenue reached 58.2 billion yuan, a 10% year-on-year increase, primarily from commercial payment and consumer loan services [1] Profitability - The gross margin improved by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 56%, with value-added, marketing, and financial technology services showing respective increases of 4, 4, and 2 percentage points [1] AI and Technology Integration - Continuous iteration of AI technology is expected to enhance advertising and e-commerce businesses, with the company's mixed Yuan image generation model ranking first globally as of November 12 [1] - New intelligent advertising products are designed to optimize marketing ROI and expand the business for small and medium advertisers [1] - AI is enhancing product recommendation capabilities, contributing to increased transaction volumes in WeChat stores [1] Gaming Performance - New games are performing well, with "Delta Force" ranking among the top three in industry revenue for Q3, and "Valorant" mobile version achieving over 50 million monthly active users [1] - Established games like "Honor of Kings" are projected to reach 139 million daily active users by 2025, with "Clash Royale" achieving record highs in daily active users and revenue in September [1] - Upcoming major IP derivative games are expected to drive further business growth [1]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - Construction activity is weakening, with the construction opening rate falling to historical lows, and industrial production remains at a historically high level [5][6] - Demand in the construction sector is weak, with low apparent demand for rebar and building materials, while automobile sales are also declining [5] - Recent weeks show a mixed performance in commodity prices, with black metals and coal prices recovering, while chemical products are experiencing a decline [6] Group 2: Industry Performance - The retail sales growth rate for October 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, but the growth rate continues to decline, particularly in the home appliance and automotive sectors [18][19] - The white liquor industry is in a bottoming phase, with structural recovery in demand during the holiday season, while the snack food sector shows resilience due to high-frequency demand [20] - In the poultry sector, chicken prices are supported by seasonal demand, while egg prices are declining, leading to accelerated culling of laying hens [22][23] Group 3: Company Updates - Li Min Co. (002734.SZ) has seen a price increase in its manganese-based products, and a strategic partnership with BASF has been established to enhance growth potential [37][38] - Bilibili (09626.HK) reported a significant increase in Q3 revenue, driven by advertising and new game launches, maintaining a "buy" rating [41][42] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) continues to experience high growth in revenue and net profit, with strong performance in both new and existing games, supported by AI applications [46][48] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The 2025 private placement market is showing signs of recovery, with a significant increase in the number of new proposals and financing scale [10][12] - The Robotaxi industry is gaining traction, with companies like Xiaoma Zhixing and Wenyan Zhixing going public, indicating growth potential in the autonomous driving sector [31] - The outdoor camping and barbecue market is expected to thrive, with companies like Guoquan focusing on expanding their product offerings in this area [34]

2025 年 11 月 17 日 GPT-5.1 引入思维链机制，重塑人机交互体验 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：任春阳 S1050521110006 rency@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 计算机(申万) | -0.3 | -1.0 | 10.5 | | 沪深 300 | 2.5 | 10.1 | 16.6 | 市场表现 相关研究 1、《计算机行业点评报告：Uber （UBER.N）：Q3 营收稳健增长，AI 与本地商业战略加速兑现》2025- 11-11 2、《计算机行业周报：月之暗面发 布 KimiK2Thinking ，曙光 scaleX640 重塑 AI 基础设施范式》 2025-11-10 3、《计算机行业点评报告：亚马逊 （AMZN.O）AI 升级驱动业务提速， 净利润再创新高》2025-11-09 ▌ 算 力 ： 算 力 租 赁 价 格 平 稳 ， 新 浪 微 博 开 源 VibeThinker-1.5B 2025 年 11 月 13 日，新浪微博 AI 团队开源的 VibeThi ...

今日上榜个股中，盈富基金、阿里巴巴-W、小米集团-W等7只股同时上榜港股通（深）、港股通 （沪）成交活跃股， 盈富基金合计成交额39.03亿港元，成交净买入37.27亿港元，阿里巴巴-W合计成 交额101.70亿港元，成交净买入20.71亿港元。赣锋锂业合计成交额19.17亿港元，成交净卖出8353.42万 港元，中芯国际合计成交额38.54亿港元，成交净卖出7329.47万港元。 11月17日恒生指数下跌0.71%，南向资金全天合计成交金额为913.76亿港元，其中，买入成交499.12亿 港元，卖出成交414.64亿港元，合计净买入金额84.48亿港元。具体来看，港股通（深）累计成交金额 351.89亿港元，买入成交196.51亿港元，卖出成交155.38亿港元，合计净买入金额41.13亿港元；港股通 （沪）累计成交金额561.86亿港元，买入成交302.61亿港元，卖出成交259.26亿港元，合计净买入金额 43.35亿港元。 成交活跃股方面，今日上榜个股中，南向资金成交金额最多的是阿里巴巴-W，合计成交额101.70亿港 元，盈富基金、中芯国际成交额紧随其后，分别成交39.03亿港元、38.54亿港元 ...