MJNY(SZ:000723) Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao·2025-07-18 20:21Core Viewpoint - Meijin Energy (000732.SZ) is expected to report a net loss of 480 million to 700 million yuan for the first half of 2025, showing a slight improvement from a loss of 683 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to declining coal and coke prices impacting profit margins [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2022, Meijin Energy reported a net profit of 2.209 billion yuan, which plummeted to 289 million yuan in 2023, and further to a loss of 1.143 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year decline of 495.31% [2] - Revenue decreased from 24.6 billion yuan in 2022 to 19.031 billion yuan in 2024 [2] Group 2: Business Structure and Market Sensitivity - In 2024, Meijin Energy's coal and coke business accounted for 95.84% of its revenue, making it highly sensitive to fluctuations in coal and coke prices [3] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a 27% decline in global coal prices in 2025, further compressing traditional business profit margins [3] Group 3: Coke Price Trends - By the end of June 2025, the price of Shanxi premium dry coke fell to 1,225 yuan per ton, a decrease of 460 yuan per ton or 27.3% since early January, and down 845 yuan per ton or 40.82% year-on-year [3][4] - The decline in coke prices is attributed to weak demand from the steel industry and a surplus in supply, with expectations of a slow recovery in the second half of 2025 [4] Group 4: Hydrogen Energy Business - Meijin Energy has been strategically investing in the hydrogen energy sector since 2017, aiming to leverage its coke production to develop a complete hydrogen energy supply chain [5] - Despite being a leader in the hydrogen energy sector, the revenue contribution from this business remains low at 4.16% in 2024 [5] Group 5: Production and Sales Challenges - In 2024, the combined production of commercial vehicles from subsidiaries Feichi Technology and Qingdao Meijin was only 208 units, with total sales of 634 units, both showing a decline [6] - The hydrogen energy segment faced challenges due to policy changes, high hydrogen costs, and slow infrastructure development, leading to losses for both subsidiaries [6] Group 6: Project Delays - The completion of the Meijin Hydrogen Energy Headquarters Base Phase I has been postponed from June 2025 to June 2026 due to various construction delays [7] - The company has implemented measures to expedite project progress, including enhanced communication with contractors and increased resource allocation [7][8]