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7月24日A股走势分析及策略:3600点得而复失,后市怎么看?

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market experienced significant volatility, with a net outflow of 63.4 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors bought nearly 61.1 billion yuan [1] - The upcoming political bureau meeting and the U.S.-China trade talks are creating a tense market atmosphere, with historical data indicating a 70% probability of the CSI 1000 index rising post-meeting [3] - The Hainan Free Trade Port is set to increase the tax ratio on duty-free goods from 21% to 74%, which may provide a boost to local stocks despite recent pullbacks [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index formed a "shooting star" candlestick pattern, indicating potential resistance at 3,613 points, with a critical support level at 3,560 points [4] - The market is showing signs of exhaustion with unfilled gaps, raising concerns among technical analysts [4][5] Group 3: Fund Flows - Major funds are exiting the market, with a record net outflow of 63.4 billion yuan, while sectors like securities and medical services saw inflows [5] - Foreign capital is flowing into the market, with over 25 billion yuan accumulated in recent days, particularly in financial and consumer sectors [5] - The financing balance has reached a new high since April, indicating increased leverage and retail investor enthusiasm [5] Group 4: External Market Influences - Global markets reacted positively to tariff relief news, with European automotive stocks rising, but concerns linger over tech giants' earnings reports [6] - Tesla's free cash flow dropped significantly, and Google's stock fell despite strong revenue, suggesting potential caution for the A-share tech sector [6] Group 5: Strategic Recommendations - The company suggests maintaining a position below 60% and focusing on sectors like AI computing and robotics for potential gains [8] - Key areas for investment include fusion energy and data assets, which are expected to benefit from upcoming policy changes [9]