摩根大通交易员仍认为美股将“大幅上涨”

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite concerns over a stock market bubble, JPMorgan's trading division expects the upward trend in U.S. stocks to continue, driven by trade agreement progress, positive economic data, and renewed M&A activity [1] - Recent economic indicators show a solid market foundation, with U.S. unemployment claims declining for the sixth consecutive week, highlighting the resilience of the labor market [3] - The Ark Innovation ETF, managed by Cathie Wood, has surged nearly 100% over the past three months, indicating a strong speculative interest in underperforming tech stocks [1] Group 2 - Strategists recommend diversifying investments into large-cap tech stocks, cyclical stocks, and high-beta assets, while using S&P 500 put options and VIX-related products for hedging [4] - Despite warnings of excessive market enthusiasm, strategists believe there are still many favorable factors supporting the current market, with technical and fundamental factors providing sufficient support for bullish sentiment [4] - The market faces risks from tariffs and economic uncertainty, but strategists maintain that the timing of any potential bubble is difficult to predict, and the current enthusiasm may last longer than expected [4]