全球股市疯涨！驱动市场的不再是“贪婪”，而是对AI的“FOMO”

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the remarkable surge in global stock markets this year, driven by investor fears of missing out on transformative opportunities presented by the artificial intelligence revolution, rather than traditional greed [1][5] - The article notes that the current market state is nearing a "floating" condition, with the U.S. stock market's market capitalization to GDP ratio reaching a historical high, and the FTSE 100 index in the UK also hitting record levels [1][3] - There is a growing indifference among investors towards various risks, seemingly accustomed to the trade threats posed by former President Trump [1][3] Group 2 - The article discusses the irrational exuberance in the market, fueled by widespread expectations that AI will fundamentally alter the labor market and capital operations, potentially redefining "humanity" itself [3][4] - It warns that the current market phenomena bear striking similarities to historical bubbles characterized by "extraordinary public delusions and collective madness" [3][4] - The AI boom has led to soaring valuations in tech stocks, with companies like Nvidia reaching a market cap exceeding $4 trillion, raising concerns about market bubble signs [4][6] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that "fear of missing out" has replaced "greed" as the dominant market sentiment, with investors driven more by emotional factors than rational pricing theories [5][6] - Historical lessons from past market bubbles, such as the internet bubble collapse in 2000, which caused a 49% real loss for UK investors, are highlighted to illustrate the potential risks of current market behavior [6][7] - Research indicates that both "fear of missing out" and "fear of loss" are significant emotional drivers of investment behavior, especially during periods of revolutionary change narratives [6][7] Group 4 - The article warns of increasing bubble risks, suggesting that while a financial crisis may not be imminent, the current high valuation environment poses risks that may not yield corresponding risk premium returns [7] - It advocates for portfolio diversification and increasing allocations to "boring" assets, particularly as cash has regained real returns post-inflation [7] - The article advises caution regarding cryptocurrencies, suggesting they should be left to speculators and fraudsters, as historical trends indicate that losses in this area can be devastating [7]