ZGXT(SZ:000831) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-26 15:55Core Viewpoint - The upcoming China-U.S. economic and trade talks are complicated by U.S. attempts to introduce new issues, particularly regarding China's oil purchases from Russia and Iran, which could affect the negotiations and the broader economic relationship between the two countries [1][3][4]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - China's rare earth exports to the U.S. surged to 352.8 tons in June, a 660% increase from May, indicating China's commitment to fulfilling trade agreements [1]. - The U.S. Treasury Secretary has expressed a desire to include China's purchases of Russian and Iranian oil in the upcoming trade negotiations, reflecting a shift in U.S. strategy [3][4]. - The U.S. aims to leverage the oil purchase issue to gain negotiation advantages and to disrupt the economic ties between China and Russia [4][6]. Group 2: Strategic Responses - China maintains strict control over its rare earth export quotas to the U.S., ensuring that it retains significant leverage in the supply chain [6]. - China opposes U.S. unilateral sanctions and emphasizes that its oil trade with Russia and Iran is based on mutual benefit and normal international trade rules [6][9]. - The Chinese government is actively diversifying its energy import sources to reduce dependency on any single supplier, enhancing its energy security [6][9]. Group 3: Negotiation Challenges - The upcoming third round of China-U.S. trade talks is expected to be contentious, with China rejecting the politicization of trade issues [7]. - If the U.S. insists on including unrelated geopolitical issues in the negotiations, it risks a breakdown in talks, which could have negative repercussions for both economies [7][9]. - China's commitment to dialogue and negotiation is firm, but it is prepared to defend its national interests against U.S. pressure [9].