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百威亚太(01876.HK)2025年中报点评:延续去库 务实调整

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and profitability for the first half of 2025, with a total revenue of $3.14 billion, a normalized EBITDA of $980 million, and a normalized net profit of $470 million, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 7.7%, 10.6%, and 14.1% respectively [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of $1.68 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 4.6% in reported terms and 3.9% in organic terms [1] - The normalized EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $500 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.7% in reported terms and 4.5% in organic terms [1] - The normalized net profit for Q2 2025 was $240 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.3% [1] Group 2: Regional Performance - In the Asia-Pacific West region, revenue declined by 2.7% year-on-year in Q2 2025, while normalized EBITDA showed a 1.4% organic growth due to a low base effect [1] - The China region continued to experience inventory reduction, with a revenue decline of 6.4% year-on-year in Q2 2025, driven by policy impacts and a focus on inventory reduction [1] - The Indian market showed strong growth in high-end and ultra-high-end products, offsetting the weak demand in China, contributing to a more stable performance in the Asia-Pacific West region [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects to continue its inventory adjustment in Q3 2025, with a potential return to normal growth in Q4 2025 due to low base effects [3] - The non-current drinking channel in China is being expanded, with high-end and ultra-high-end products gaining a larger share compared to current drinking channels [3] - The Indian region is anticipated to maintain its growth momentum, with double-digit growth in high-end and ultra-high-end products [3]