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信义能源(03868.HK):融资成本持续下降 拟发行REITS进一步改善现金流

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 7.7% year-on-year to RMB 1.21 billion and a net profit increase of 23.4% to RMB 450 million in the first half of 2025, with an interim dividend of HKD 0.029 per share [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 1.21 billion, up 7.7% year-on-year - Net profit increased to RMB 450 million, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year growth - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.029 per share [1][2] Operational Analysis - The delay in the acquisition of new projects is attributed to the lack of clarity in electricity market regulations, but previous acquisitions have led to a 23% increase in electricity sales volume year-on-year - The company acquired a 30MW solar power station from its parent company, bringing the total capacity to 4.54GW, with 61.8% being grid-parity projects - Approximately 1.2GW of projects are available for acquisition, with 860MW being grid-parity projects, but the company cannot determine the pricing and costs due to unclear regulations [1][2] Cash Flow and Financing - Total financing costs decreased by 19% year-on-year to RMB 148 million, mainly due to lower interest rates and reduced borrowings - Operating cash flow improved to RMB 310 million, with an increase in grid-parity projects reducing reliance on government subsidies - The company has submitted application materials for a REIT to enhance cash flow and risk management capabilities [2] Policy Impact - Existing projects are eligible for guaranteed pricing policies under the "new and old separation" policy, which is expected to stabilize revenue from existing power stations - The company anticipates that the implementation of provincial regulations will provide some protection for existing electricity prices, making revenue fluctuations more manageable [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to RMB 917 million, RMB 951 million, and RMB 1.016 billion respectively - The estimated dividend for 2025 is approximately RMB 0.054 per share, with the current stock price corresponding to a PE ratio of 10.3, PB ratio of 0.7, and a dividend yield of 4.8% - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on these projections [2]