Core Viewpoint - China Oriental Education (00667) has projected a 45%-50% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by a 7% increase in new student registrations and a 10% rise in revenue, alongside effective cost control measures [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company has experienced a significant market value increase of over 2.3 times this year, becoming a standout in the vocational education sector, although its current PE ratio has reached 34 times, indicating a potential peak in valuation [1][3]. - For the fiscal year 2024, the company expects a net profit of 513 million yuan, representing an 88% increase, marking a five-year high [7]. - The average tuition fee across its five training brands is projected to be 27,600 yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, and the total number of training participants is approximately 146,300, reflecting a slight increase of 0.4% [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The company's stock performance has been bolstered by policy-driven expectations and a short squeeze phenomenon, with significant policy support for vocational education, including the issuance of the "Education Power Construction Plan" [3][6]. - The vocational education sector has seen a rebound since January, with a cumulative increase of over 45% this year, leading the Hong Kong stock market [3][4]. - China Oriental Education is recognized as the largest vocational skills education provider in China, having recorded a price increase of over 140% in the past seven months [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - While China Oriental Education has shown strong performance, other vocational education institutions have also reported double-digit growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a competitive market environment [8]. - The divergence in market performance between vocational training and academic institutions is notable, with the former receiving more capital attention due to favorable policies and market conditions [8][9]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for vocational skills training, especially in a high unemployment environment, enhancing its market appeal [8][9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite reaching a potential peak in valuation, the company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, supported by favorable policies and a solid business foundation [2][9]. - The ongoing growth in the vocational education sector presents long-term investment opportunities, particularly for high-performing stocks and those at valuation inflection points [9].
7个月股价翻超2倍的中国东方教育：业绩稳健，半年度预告利润大增