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锅圈(02517.HK):25H1业绩高增 高分红回报股东

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in its performance for the first half of 2025, with notable increases in revenue, net profit, and core operating profit, driven by expansion in various channels and strategic initiatives [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.6% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 183 million yuan, reflecting a substantial growth of 113% [1]. - Core operating profit was 190 million yuan, up by 52% compared to the previous year [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from 2B and other channels grew significantly, reaching 560 million yuan, a 125% increase, accounting for 17.3% of total revenue [1]. - Revenue from sales to franchisees increased by 11%, with the number of franchise stores rising to 10,386, an increase of approximately 8% [1]. - The company added 270 new rural stores, reinforcing its down-market strategy [1]. Operational Efficiency - The company completed the smart and unmanned transformation of over 2,000 retail stores [1]. - In H1 2025, the company launched 175 new SKUs in the hot pot and barbecue categories to attract customers [1]. - Membership numbers exceeded 50 million, with an increase of about 9 million since the beginning of the year, and member prepayments reached 590 million yuan, up 37.2% [1]. Profitability and Dividends - The gross profit margin was 22.1%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while sales and management expense ratios improved by 1.82 and 1.85 percentage points, respectively [2]. - Other income and net gains were approximately 60 million yuan, a 93% increase, primarily due to fair value changes of non-listed companies [2]. - The company proposed a mid-term dividend of 0.0716 yuan per share, totaling about 190 million yuan, marking a record high in shareholder returns [2]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 393 million, 487 million, and 596 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 70.7%, 23.7%, and 22.5%, respectively [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of approximately 23, 19, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [2]. - The company maintains a positive outlook on revenue growth and profitability improvement, sustaining a "buy" rating [2].