健盛集团：1H25业绩低于预期 维持高分红

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance slightly underperformed expectations due to uncertainties from U.S. tariff policies and weak end-consumer demand, leading to a revenue of 1.171 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.19%, and a net profit of 142 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.47% [1][2] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue was 1.171 billion yuan, with a net profit of 142 million yuan, reflecting a decline in profit margins due to increased costs and reduced orders from major brands [1] - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 28.2% in 1H25, influenced by rising management and sales expenses, as well as increased asset impairment losses [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.25 yuan per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 62.5% [1] Business Segments - The sock business revenue in 1H25 was approximately 839 million yuan, down 0.7% year-on-year, with net profit declining by 19% to 109 million yuan, resulting in a profit margin of about 13% [1] - The seamless business saw a revenue increase of 2.6% to 332 million yuan, with net profit rising by 6% to 32 million yuan, achieving a profit margin of around 10% [1] Cash Flow and Inventory - As of 1H25, inventory increased by 4.7% to 706 million yuan, while accounts receivable decreased by 1.2% to 511 million yuan, indicating a longer inventory turnover period of 149.2 days [2] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, increasing by 147% year-on-year to 252 million yuan, indicating strong cash flow [2] Future Outlook - The company expects better sock sales in the second half of the year due to concentrated orders from key clients and stable performance in the seamless business [3] - The company is actively exploring new clients and implementing smart manufacturing and cost-reduction strategies despite weak overseas consumer demand [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced by 21% and 24% to 296 million yuan and 318 million yuan, respectively, reflecting the impact of weak overseas demand [4] - The target price has been adjusted down by 14.4% to 10.42 yuan, with a potential upside of 8.11% compared to the current stock price [4]