雪王的第二曲线开始了：当幸运咖冲杀入北上广

Core Insights - Lucky Coffee has rapidly increased its presence, signing 7,300 stores by August 2, 2023, up by 2,300 since March, with over half of these signed in July [2] - The company aims to reach 10,000 stores by 2025, focusing on first-tier cities in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions [2] - Lucky Coffee is currently the fourth largest fresh coffee brand in China, and achieving its store target would mean a 1.5x expansion rate this year, posing a significant challenge to competitors like Luckin and Kudi [2] Company Background - Lucky Coffee was established in 2017 and was initially an independent brand funded by Mixue Ice City, which later acquired it in 2020 [3][4] - The brand has expanded from fewer than 500 stores to over 2,300 in two years, primarily in lower-tier markets [5] Market Challenges - In 2023, Lucky Coffee faced intense competition from the 9.9 yuan coffee war initiated by Luckin and Kudi, leading to a decline in new store openings [6][7] - By the first half of 2024, Lucky Coffee experienced negative growth in store numbers [8] Strategic Initiatives - In response to competition, Lucky Coffee launched promotional campaigns, such as the "66 Lucky Season" with prices starting at 6.6 yuan [9] - The company has integrated its supply chain with Mixue Ice City, which has helped in expanding to remote markets [10][11] Expansion Efforts - In the latter half of 2024, Lucky Coffee added nearly 1,000 new stores, shifting its strategy to attract franchisees with significant incentives [12] - The company has implemented fee waivers and subsidies for new and existing franchisees, particularly in major cities [13][14] Competitive Landscape - The coffee market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Luckin opening nearly 4,000 new stores in the first half of the year [24] - Kudi has also accelerated its expansion, opening over 1,000 stores in April and May [25] Financial Considerations - Lucky Coffee's pricing strategy is based on a low-cost model, with a focus on maintaining a competitive edge through its supply chain [17] - The company has signed a significant procurement deal for coffee beans, enhancing its cost structure [18] Product Development - Lucky Coffee has increased its product launches, introducing 32 new items in the first half of the year, an 88% increase from the previous year [21] - However, the brand's marketing efforts are perceived as less aggressive compared to competitors, which may hinder its growth potential [21] Market Positioning - Currently, about 70% of Lucky Coffee's stores are located in third-tier cities or below, while competitors have a more balanced distribution [22] - The company is adjusting its store model to focus on smaller, more cost-effective locations in first-tier cities [22] Future Outlook - The coffee market is evolving, with potential overlaps between coffee and tea segments, which could impact Lucky Coffee's positioning [28][29] - The brand needs to establish a unique strategy to differentiate itself from Mixue Ice City and other competitors in the market [29]