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瑞银:微升小菜园(00999)目标价至14港元 料下半年加快开店

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Xiaocaiyuan (00999) achieved a 7% year-on-year revenue growth and a 36% increase in net profit for the first half of the year, reaching 2.714 billion and 382 million RMB respectively, meeting the upper limit of profit forecasts [1] Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit for the first half of the year were 2.714 billion RMB and 382 million RMB, reflecting a 7% and 36% year-on-year growth respectively [1] - Net profit margin expanded by 3 percentage points, driven by a 2.7 percentage point increase in gross margin and a 4 percentage point decrease in labor costs, partially offset by increased advertising expenses, higher tax rates, and reduced interest income [1] Dividend and Earnings Forecast - The company declared an interim dividend of 21.19 cents RMB, with a payout ratio of 65% [1] - Based on strong first-half performance and effective cost control, UBS raised the earnings per share forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 13%, and slightly increased the target price from 13 HKD to 14 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Management Strategy and Expansion Plans - Management emphasized focusing on product value and restaurant profitability, with a target payout ratio of 50% to 60% [1] - Same-store sales turned positive starting in May, with the number of stores increasing to 672, and management aims to reach 800 stores by the end of 2025 and 1,000 stores by the end of 2026, indicating an accelerated opening pace starting in July [1]