Core Viewpoint - Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry reported 1H25 results that met expectations, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by improved management efficiency and reduced pig costs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 24.3% year-on-year to 11.7 billion yuan, while net profit surged by 250.6% to 1.27 billion yuan, aligning with the company's performance forecast [1]. - The pig business showed strong growth, with revenue up 32.6% to 9.88 billion yuan and sales volume rising 27.1% to 5.1174 million heads [1]. - The average selling price of market pigs decreased by 1.3% to 15.02 yuan per kilogram [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The poultry business experienced stable development, with revenue down 13.5% to 1.34 billion yuan, while yellow feather chicken sales increased by 7.2% to 43 million heads [1]. - The slaughtering and auxiliary products segment saw revenue growth of 16.1% to 480 million yuan, with slaughter volume increasing by 18.5% to 249,000 heads [1]. Group 3: Cost and Efficiency - The company maintained a leading cost advantage in the industry, with the complete cost of pig production estimated below 12.5 yuan per kilogram [2]. - The company achieved a PSY (pigs per sow per year) of 27, indicating industry-leading efficiency [2]. - The asset-liability ratio improved to 59.9%, down 14.3 percentage points from 1H24, reflecting effective profit release and a light asset model [2]. Group 4: Growth Strategy - The company adopted a light asset model through innovative pig breeding practices, resulting in lower capital expenditure and deeper partnerships with breeding farmers [3]. - The company is expected to continue generating excess profits due to its strong cost advantages in breeding technology and health management [3]. - Recent improvements in liquidity and growth narrative recognition have led to a potential valuation recovery, with an estimated market value of 2,623 yuan per head, indicating room for further valuation enhancement compared to industry leaders [3]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with current stock prices reflecting P/E ratios of 10.9 and 6.4 times, respectively [3]. - A target price of 111 HKD is set, corresponding to P/E ratios of 14.5 and 8.5 for 2025 and 2026, suggesting a 33% upside potential from current prices [3].
德康农牧(02419.HK)：轻资产、低成本、高回报 实现高质量盈利