德意志银行称美国财长贝森特的降息观点与美联储模型相悖

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank's interest rate strategists argue that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen's view on the Federal Reserve's interest rates being over a percentage point higher than model predictions is incorrect [1] Group 1: Analysis of Interest Rate Predictions - Bessen stated on August 13 that "any model" suggests interest rates should be lower by 150 to 175 basis points [1] - Deutsche Bank's team, led by Matthew Raskin, has been unable to find models supporting Bessen's claim [1] - The report indicates that the current federal funds rate is within a relatively narrow range of approximately 4% to 4.65%, suggesting a 25 basis point cut may be reasonable [1]