智飞生物由盈转亏 国产疫苗转型突围成趋势

Core Viewpoint - The domestic vaccine leader, Zhifei Biological, is facing unprecedented challenges, with a significant decline in revenue and profit due to market adjustments and product dependency [1][2][3] Company Summary - Zhifei Biological reported a revenue of 4.919 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 73.06%, and a net loss of 597 million yuan, marking its first half-year loss since its listing in 2010 [1] - The company’s nine-valent HPV vaccine issuance dropped by 76.8% from 18.2717 million doses to 4.2388 million doses, while the four-valent HPV vaccine issuance fell to zero [1][2] - Revenue from agency products, particularly Merck's products, plummeted from 17.59 billion yuan to 4.37 billion yuan, a decrease of 75.16% [1] - In 2024, Zhifei's revenue was 26.07 billion yuan, down 50.74% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.018 billion yuan, down 74.99% [2] Industry Summary - The entire domestic vaccine industry is experiencing a collective downturn after a period of rapid growth, with companies like Watson Bio and Wantai Bio also facing significant challenges [4][5] - The industry has been heavily reliant on a few major products, leading to vulnerability when demand shifts or competition increases [5][6] - The market for vaccines is becoming increasingly competitive, with many companies focusing on traditional products, resulting in a lack of innovation and new growth drivers [5][6] Transformation Trends - In response to declining performance, vaccine companies are seeking to diversify their product lines, with Zhifei investing in Chongqing Chen'an Biological Pharmaceutical Co., focusing on GLP-1 drugs [6][7] - The GLP-1 market is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to exceed $17 billion by 2031, indicating a potential new growth area for companies [6] - Wantai Bio is also diversifying into the collagen medical materials market, with significant revenue growth reported [7] - The shift into new markets presents high risks and challenges, as companies must navigate unfamiliar territories while managing financial pressures [8]