歌尔股份(002241.SZ)中报确认业绩拐点，AI终端爆发撬动增长新周期?

Core Viewpoint - The market focus is shifting from "AI computing power" to "AI terminals," with GoerTek being a key beneficiary in the XR/AI glasses surge [1][2]. Financial Performance - GoerTek reported a net profit of 1.417 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.65% [4]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 21.24 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.8% and a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.3% [4]. - The precision components business generated 7.604 billion yuan in revenue, up 20.54% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 23.49% [4]. - The smart hardware segment contributed 20.341 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 2.49%, with a gross margin of 11.51% [4]. Inventory and Incentives - The ending inventory balance was 13.449 billion yuan, a 28.3% increase from the beginning of the year, primarily due to increased raw material and work-in-progress inventory [5]. - GoerTek announced a stock option incentive plan for 6,302 employees, aiming for revenue of at least 129.848 billion yuan in 2025 or a net profit growth of at least 140% compared to 2023 [5]. Capital Movements - The controlling shareholder of GoerTek increased their stake by acquiring 47,439,630 shares, representing 1.36% of the total share capital, with an investment of nearly 1 billion yuan [6]. - GoerTek initiated a share buyback plan of 500 million to 1 billion yuan, having repurchased 16.1328 million shares for 338 million yuan by July 31, 2025 [6]. AI Terminal Wave - In H1 2025, GoerTek's smart hardware business accounted for 54.17% of total revenue, marking a significant shift towards the XR sector [8]. - The global smart glasses shipment volume more than doubled year-on-year, with an AI functionality penetration rate of 78% [9]. - IDC forecasts that global smart glasses shipments will exceed 14.5 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 40% [9]. Technological Advancements - GoerTek's subsidiary launched the world's first SRG-etched optical waveguide module, achieving a thickness of only 0.7mm and a brightness of 5000 nits [10]. - The company showcased custom-designed speakers and multi-MIC+VPU sensor solutions for AI glasses, addressing user privacy and enhancing voice recognition capabilities [10]. - GoerTek's Mulan 2 and Wood 2 AR glasses were highlighted at CES 2025, with Mulan 2 being the lightest AR glasses globally at 36 grams [10]. Strategic Positioning - GoerTek has established a strategic position in the AI glasses supply chain, being a core manufacturer for major clients like Meta and Xiaomi [11][12]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the upcoming AI hardware innovation wave, with a focus on vertical integration of components and complete systems [12]. Future Outlook - Future catalysts include the ability to meet Q3 guidance, sales data from new products by Meta and Xiaomi, and potential consumer electronics subsidy policies [13]. - GoerTek's growth momentum appears to be building, with a long-term vision of transitioning from a manufacturing leader to a technology ecosystem leader [14].