歌尔股份中报确认业绩拐点，AI终端爆发撬动增长新周期?

Core Viewpoint - The market focus is shifting from "AI computing power" to "AI terminals," with GoerTek being a key observation sample as it is expected to benefit significantly from the surge in XR/AI glasses shipments [1][2]. Financial Performance - GoerTek reported a net profit of 1.417 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.65% [3]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 21.24 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.8% and a substantial quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.3% [3]. - The precision components business generated revenue of 7.604 billion yuan, up 20.54% year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement to 23.49% [3]. - The smart hardware business contributed 20.341 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 2.49%, with a gross margin of 11.51% [3]. Inventory and Stock Incentives - The ending inventory balance was 13.449 billion yuan, a 28.3% increase from the beginning of the year, with over 60% consisting of raw materials and work-in-progress [4]. - GoerTek launched a stock option incentive plan in May 2025, involving 6,302 employees and aiming for revenue of no less than 129.848 billion yuan in 2025 [4]. Capital Movements - The controlling shareholder of GoerTek increased their stake by acquiring 47,439,630 shares, representing 1.36% of the total share capital, with an investment of nearly 1 billion yuan [4][5]. - A share repurchase plan was initiated in April 2025, with a budget of 500 million to 1 billion yuan, and by July 31, 2025, 16.1328 million shares had been repurchased [5]. AI Terminal Wave - In the first half of 2025, the smart hardware business accounted for 54.17% of total revenue, marking a significant shift towards the XR sector [7]. - Global smart glasses shipments more than doubled year-on-year, with an AI functionality penetration rate of 78% [8]. - IDC forecasts that global smart glasses shipments will exceed 14.5 million units in 2025, with a growth rate of over 40% [8]. Technological Advancements - GoerTek's subsidiary launched the world's first SRG-etched optical waveguide module, achieving a thickness of only 0.7mm and a brightness of 5000 nits [9]. - The company showcased custom-designed speakers and multi-MIC+VPU sensor solutions for AI glasses, addressing user privacy and enhancing noise reduction [9]. - GoerTek's Mulan 2 and Wood 2 AR glasses were highlighted at CES 2025, with Mulan 2 being the lightest AR glasses globally [9]. Strategic Positioning - GoerTek has established a strategic position in the AI glasses supply chain, being a core manufacturer for major clients like Meta and Xiaomi [10][11]. - The company is expected to transition from a manufacturing leader to a technology ecosystem leader in the long term [12].