Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating for Lao Pu Gold (06181) while raising the earnings per share (EPS) forecast for the company from 0% to 2% for the years 2023 to 2027 [1] Financial Summary - Target price is adjusted from HKD 1,055 to HKD 925, reflecting a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 times for next year [1] - EPS growth is forecasted to decrease from over 245% this year to 30% next year, indicating lower visibility for EPS growth [1] Company Performance and Strategy - The company demonstrates strong brand power and execution capabilities, with a solid growth outlook for the second half of the year [1] - Focus is shifting towards capital management and next year's growth outlook due to a slowdown in domestic expansion [1] - The company has significant potential for overseas expansion, but execution will be critical [1] Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - Lao Pu Gold's stock price has dropped 31% since its peak in early July, and the valuation is not yet attractive considering stock volatility and short-term profit risks [1] - Since its listing in June last year, the stock has increased 19 times, with a year-to-date increase of 211% [1] - The market may be concentrating on mid-term growth visibility amid unclear macro trends and company strategies [1]
大摩：下调老铺黄金目标价至925港元 评级“与大市同步”