BOC AVIATION(HK:02588) Ge Long Hui·2025-08-23 11:31Core Insights - The company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in revenue to US$1.24 billion for 1H25, while net profit decreased by 26% year-over-year to US$342 million, primarily due to non-recurring write-backs related to two aircrafts in Russia in 1H24. Excluding this impact, core net profit grew by 20% year-over-year, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company delivered 24 aircrafts, a 6-unit increase year-over-year and a 4-unit increase half-over-half, with 19 being operating leased aircrafts, marking a 12-unit increase year-over-year and half-over-half. This resulted in capital expenditures of US$1.9 billion, a 138% year-over-year increase [2] - The net book value of operating leased aircrafts rose by 1% compared to the beginning of 2025, reaching US$18.2 billion, attributed to accelerated aircraft disposals, which increased by 3 units year-over-year to 18 [2] - The lease rate factor increased by 0.5 percentage points year-over-year to 10.3%, contributing to a net operating lease yield increase of 0.5% year-over-year to 7.5% [2] - Other interest and fee income surged by 80% year-over-year, driven by a significant rise in pre-delivery payment financing income due to global aircraft delivery growth [2] Growth Outlook - The company signed its largest aircraft order in history during 1H25, with the orderbook increasing by 132% year-over-year to 351 aircrafts, implying total capital expenditures of approximately US$20 billion. This robust orderbook supports a solid medium-to-long-term growth outlook [3] - The company targets total assets of US$40 billion by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2024 to 2035 [3] - As of 1H25, the company maintained a 100% aircraft utilization rate, with an average aircraft age of five years and a weighted average remaining lease term of 7.9 years, enhancing visibility in rental income [3] Financing and Valuation - The funding cost remained stable year-over-year at 4.6%, with total debt increasing by 2% year-over-year. The stability in financing costs is attributed to internal cash flow management [4] - A potential 10 basis points decline in financing costs could increase net profit by approximately US$2.5 million, benefiting from easing overseas monetary conditions [4] - The stock is currently trading at 1.0x 2025 estimated price-to-book (P/B) ratio and 0.9x 2026 estimated P/B ratio, with a target price of HK$81.40, suggesting a 13% upside [4]