华润电力(0836.HK)：业绩低于预期 可再生能源利润增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for 1H25, with a focus on the performance of its thermal and renewable energy segments, while maintaining its growth targets for renewable energy installations [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 decreased by 1.7% year-on-year to HKD 50.267 billion, while profit attributable to shareholders fell by 15.9% to HKD 7.872 billion, below the expected HKD 9.322 billion [1] - The core profit from the thermal power business decreased by 2.7% to HKD 2.641 billion, which was lower than expectations [1] - The renewable energy segment saw a core profit increase of 1.5% to HKD 5.637 billion [1] Dividend and Payout - The company declared a dividend of HKD 0.356 per share for 1H25, maintaining a payout ratio of 23.4%, which is consistent with the previous year [1] Renewable Energy Growth - The company added 4.8 GW of new renewable energy capacity in 1H25, aiming for a total of 10 GW of new installations by 2025 [1][2] - As of June 2025, renewable energy capacity is expected to account for 49.9% of the total installed capacity [2] Pricing and Cost Dynamics - The on-grid electricity prices for wind and solar energy decreased by 11.0% and 6.1% respectively, to HKD 0.3968 and HKD 0.3049 per kWh [2] - The unit fuel cost for coal-fired power generation decreased by 3.52 cents per kWh to HKD 0.2413 per kWh [1] Market Outlook and Valuation - The target price for the company's shares is set at HKD 25.49, with a "buy" rating maintained [2] - Adjustments were made to profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with a decrease of 13.7% to 15.7% in expected profits [2]