证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 20 日 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 邱达治 SAC：S1350525050001 qiudazhi@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 重视港股电力设备核心资产 6 月能源数据分析 风电设备：（1）风机快速大型化导致新产品的推出周期大幅变短，而大型电力设备的新产品利润率此时 通常会走低（前期更注重份额且成本不易控制）；（2）整机环节集中度持续走高且无新竞争者进入足以 证明风电整机壁垒够高。当前风机大型化速度显著放缓，因此我们看好风电整机利润改善。 投资分析意见：重视港股电力设备核心资产投资机会，煤电核准强度超出预期，抽蓄建设维持高位，风 电需求稳 ...

（原标题：港股概念追踪 | 全国最大电力负荷首次突破15亿千瓦 机构：电力板块有望迎来价值重估(附概念股)） 智通财经APP获悉，7月16日，全国最大电力负荷继今年7月4日(14.65亿千瓦)、7月7日(14.67亿千瓦)后再次刷新历史纪录，首次突破15亿千瓦，最 大达到15.06亿千瓦，较去年最大负荷增加0.55亿千瓦。本周全国电力负荷持续维持高位，迎峰度夏能源保供工作已进入关键时期。 近期全国多地电力负荷快速上升，入夏以来至16日中午，全国共有天津、冀北、河北南网、山东、江苏、浙江、安徽、福建、湖北、河南、江 西、辽宁、蒙东、陕西、四川、广东16个省级电网负荷36次突破历史新高。迎峰度夏期间，全国大部地区气温较常年同期偏高，叠加经济增长趋 势向好，共同拉动全国最大电力负荷创历史新高。 分析认为，偏高气温带动火电发电量上升，叠加煤价的继续承压，部分区域火电企业或有望迎来的显著业绩增长。其中，华银电力中报预告显 示，公司预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润1.8亿-2.2亿元(未经审计)，同比增长3600.70~4423.07%；此外，京能电力预计2025年 半年度实现归母净利润约18.28亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The increase in renewable energy consumption responsibility weight is expected to generate an additional demand of approximately 510 billion kilowatt-hours of new energy by 2025 [2][6][19] - The transition of the aluminum electrolysis industry from monitoring to assessment will significantly boost the demand for non-hydropower green certificates, estimated at around 150 million certificates [7][26] - The inclusion of four major energy-consuming industries (steel, cement, polysilicon, and data centers) into monitoring is projected to create a potential demand for approximately 800 million non-hydropower green certificates [8][29] Summary by Sections Renewable Energy Consumption Responsibility Weight - The responsibility weight for renewable energy consumption will significantly increase in 2025, with unfulfilled portions not carried over to the next year. The new policy mandates that the responsibility weight must be completed within the year [6][17] - The "Three North" regions have a higher responsibility weight, with provinces like Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Jilin, Heilongjiang, and Qinghai set at 30%, while regions like Shanghai and Guangdong remain below 15% [18] Electrolytic Aluminum Green Power Consumption - The green power consumption ratio for the electrolytic aluminum industry will shift from monitoring to assessment in 2025, leading to a significant increase in demand for non-hydropower green certificates [7][26] - The estimated demand for non-hydropower green certificates from the electrolytic aluminum sector is about 150 million certificates due to the new assessment requirements [26] Expansion of Monitoring to Other Industries - The addition of steel, cement, polysilicon, and data centers into the monitoring framework is expected to create a substantial potential demand for green certificates, estimated at around 800 million certificates [8][29] - The projected total demand from these sectors could reach approximately 980 billion kilowatt-hours of new energy, accounting for about 53% of the 2024 new energy volume [34] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand side is expected to expand significantly due to the assessment of the electrolytic aluminum industry and the inclusion of new energy-consuming sectors, while the supply side will see a reduction in the issuance of green certificates due to policy changes [8][34] - The overall market dynamics are anticipated to shift from a surplus supply to a more balanced state, providing long-term support for green certificate prices [8][34]

南方区域电力市场正式转入连续结算试运行阶段，从之前只是按周、按月等短期开展交易变成可以每天 不间断交易，双方根据需求随时跨省区买卖电力。 核心亮点：22万市场主体、日交易38亿度，关注电力交易多元化主体资产重估可能。此次启动连续结算 试运行后，南方区域电力市场同步实现广东、广西、云南、贵州、海南五省区电力现货市场全覆盖，22 万市场主体同台竞价，市场将释放更真实、更稳定的价格信号。标志着中国电力市场化改革迈入"自由 交易"的新纪元。 业内人士认为，迎峰度夏拉动电力需求增长，叠加中报季即将来临以及全国统一电力市场建设加速推进 带来的积极影响，机构当下建议重视对电力板块的配置。除看好水电、火电、绿电等细分方向外，制冷 剂、煤炭等与制冷、发电相关的板块同样值得投资者关注。 智通财经APP获悉，中国国家发改委政策研究室副主任李超26日在新闻发布会上介绍，中国正着力提升 电力保供能力，今年迎峰度夏电力供需形势好于去年，全国电力供需平衡总体有保障。 2025/06国家电网总经理庞骁刚在国新办新闻发布会上表示，深化"AI+抢修"应用。国家能源集团储能项 目：山东蓬莱的205兆瓦时复合储能电站，通过AI模型监测电池状态和能源 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 电力行业 2025 年半年报前瞻：火电业绩展望积 极，清洁能源或有分化 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 综合火电三要素，虽然二季度电价及电量延续回落，但考虑到年初以来煤价仍有明显下降，北 方电厂及部分华东地区火电运营商二季度业绩仍将维持积极表现。水电方面，在高基数影响下 二季度水电电量承压，但部分水电公司通过优化水库调度及蓄水节奏等仍有望实现稳健业绩增 长。核电方面，虽然二季度电量均维持同比增长，但由于不同省份受电价下降影响不同，因此 两核业绩或将有所分化。绿电方面，虽然绿电 4-5 月全国利用小时数持续回落，但是各省利用 小时表现存在明显差异，区域分布或将主导板块内公司业绩表现有所分化。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is planning to spin off its renewable energy segment for a listing on the A-share market, which is expected to enhance its valuation significantly [5][10] - The company has demonstrated strong operational capabilities and management mechanisms, which are crucial for navigating through market cycles [10][27] - The company has a solid track record, having never reported a loss since its listing, and has maintained a stable return on equity (ROE) [7][16] Financial Performance and Valuation - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from 103,334 million HKD in 2023 to 131,238 million HKD by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.48% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 11,003 million HKD in 2023 to 16,635 million HKD in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 6.8, 6.6, and 6.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [8] Renewable Energy Segment - By the end of 2024, the company's renewable energy capacity is expected to account for nearly 50% of its total installed capacity, with significant investments planned for further expansion [7][27] - The company has a competitive edge in unit profitability for its renewable energy segment, outperforming major competitors in terms of net profit [35] - The planned IPO of the renewable energy segment is anticipated to raise 24.5 billion RMB for new projects, which could lead to a valuation exceeding 150 billion HKD post-listing [38][43] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a unique market position due to its historical roots and strategic focus on both traditional and renewable energy sectors [14][19] - The operational strategy emphasizes a balanced approach to energy generation, with a significant focus on renewable energy development in regions with higher electricity prices [27][32] - The company’s management has effectively navigated market challenges, maintaining a strong performance even during periods of industry downturns [20][24]

【解剖大盘】 港股从4月9日开始一直都处于上升势头，到月底感觉有点疲态，今天恒指跌1.35%。 23日，特朗普在社交媒体发文称，他建议从6月1日开始对来自欧盟的商品征收50%的关税。他表示，欧 盟成立的主要目的就是"在贸易上占美国的便宜"，美国与欧盟的谈判"毫无进展"。然而到了周日，在与 欧洲执行委员会主席冯德莱恩通话后，特朗普又突然改口，决定将关税实施日期延后至7月9日，为双方 争取更多谈判时间。美国很急，因为迄今为止只和英国达成了协议，因此想逼迫欧洲尽快就范，而欧洲 当然希望拖延时间寻找对策，比如马克龙开始密集访问东南亚三国，期待能找到摆脱美国制衡的新方 向。 除了欧洲，日本也是美国重点要签协议的国家，日美进行第三轮关税谈判之际，特朗普发布了一则日美 钢铁企业巨头合作的消息。他支持日本收购美国钢铁，日本首相石破茂周日也给出了态度：计划拿 LNG项目+造船技术换美国关税让步。日方力争6月中达成协议。 日本在全球造船业中排名第三，仅次于中国和韩国。2024年，日本新船成交相对低迷，全年共计成交 233艘、1123.2万载重吨、358.3万修正总吨，以载重吨和修正总吨计分别同比下降46%和47%，仅分别 占全球 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 国际认可加速绿证消费扩容，价改推进重视绿电 长期价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证，明确企业使用中国绿证不需 要再提供额外证明。标志着我国绿证体系的制度完善与国际互认取得里程碑式突破，助推我国 绿证需求侧加速扩容。长期低位运行的市场需求和绿证价格将得到显著催化，为新能源项目实 现合理收益提供重要支撑。在新能源价格改革持续持续推进的背景下，我们认为各省配套细则 也将承接 136 号文保护存量项目、稳定增量项目收益预期的原则，有助于长远角度新能源发电 的合理健康发展，同时随着绿电消费的加速扩容，绿电公司有望迎来价值重估。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQT627 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 [T ...

Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, CR Power reported a turnover of HK$105,284 million, representing a slight increase of 1.9% from HK$103,334 million in 2023[11]. - The profit attributable to owners of the Company for 2024 was HK$14,388 million, a significant increase of 30.5% compared to HK$11,003 million in 2023[11]. - Basic earnings per share rose to HK$2.97 in 2024, up from HK$2.29 in 2023, marking an increase of 29.5%[11]. - The total assets of CR Power increased to HK$362,464 million in 2024, up from HK$322,396 million in 2023, indicating a growth of 12.4%[11]. - The company's attributable equity increased to HK$99,151 million in 2024, up from HK$84,974 million in 2023, representing a growth of approximately 16.3%[20]. - The core profit contribution from the renewable energy business was HK$9,228 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.1%[63]. - Revenue from strategic emerging businesses increased by 12.6% year-on-year, enhancing overall operational performance[69]. - The asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, enhancing risk management capabilities[69]. Installed Capacity and Renewable Energy - The total attributable grid-connected installed capacity reached 72,433 MW in 2024, an increase of 21.2% from 59,764 MW in 2023[11]. - Renewable energy capacity accounted for 34,188 MW, which is approximately 47.2% of the total installed capacity, up from 22,597 MW in 2023[11]. - The attributable installed capacity reached 72,433 MW in 2024, compared to 59,764 MW in 2023, indicating an increase of about 21.2%[24]. - Renewable energy attributable installed capacity was 34,188 MW in 2024, a significant rise from 15,441 MW in 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 121.5%[26]. - The company secured construction quotas for 13,584 MW of renewable energy projects, enhancing resource reserves for sustainable development[68]. - A total of 7,788 MW of renewable energy projects were connected to the grid during the year, supporting national energy supply guarantees[68]. - Key projects included the 6,100 MW "Xinjiang-to-Chongqing Power Transmission" base project and a 900 MW offshore wind power project, which progressed steadily[68]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The Company plans to recommend a final dividend of HK$0.691 per share for 2024, totaling HK$3,577 million, with a payout ratio of 40%[12]. Strategic Focus and Future Guidance - The company is focusing on integrated energy services, including distributed photovoltaic solutions, to diversify its energy offerings[33]. - The operational strategy includes increasing the share of renewable energy in the overall energy mix, aligning with global sustainability trends[26]. - Future guidance indicates a continued emphasis on capacity expansion and technological advancements in renewable energy sectors[27]. - The company aims to strengthen its core competitiveness and advance towards becoming a world-class clean energy supplier[60]. - CR Power plans to increase investment in strategic emerging industries to continuously advance the construction of a new energy system[85]. - The company will implement China's new energy security strategy with higher standards, driving the development of new productive forces through technological innovation[85]. - In 2025, CR Power aims to achieve breakthroughs in both scale and profitability, ensuring the successful completion of strategic objectives during the final year of the "14th Five-Year Plan"[84]. Governance and Leadership - Mr. Zhou Bo appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in October 2023[105]. - Mr. Zhang Yingzhong appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Nomination Committee in October 2023[110]. - Mr. Li Chuanji appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in October 2024[114]. - Mr. Zeng Jun appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in February 2025[119]. - Ms. Elsie Leung Oi-sie has been an Independent Non-executive Director since April 2010 and is the chairperson of the Remuneration Committee[124]. - The company has appointed independent non-executive directors with diverse backgrounds in finance, law, and public administration, enhancing its governance structure[146]. - The leadership team includes members with significant public service experience, which may positively influence the company's reputation and stakeholder relations[150]. Sustainability and Environmental Commitment - The Group is committed to environmental sustainability, focusing on resource conservation and the development of clean and renewable energy projects[199]. - The Group's development in promoting ESG initiatives is discussed in the Chairman's Statement on pages 20 to 26[200]. - The company emphasizes the importance of optimizing energy structures and reinforcing high-quality energy development to support steady economic growth[84]. - CR Power is committed to high-quality and high-level development, empowering green progress and fostering a low-carbon future[86]. Operational Strategy and Market Expansion - The company plans to expand its service areas across multiple provinces, including Guangdong, Fujian, and Hainan, enhancing its market presence[29]. - The company is focusing on expanding its wind and solar energy projects across various provinces, enhancing its renewable energy portfolio[36]. - The company maintains a diverse portfolio of renewable energy projects across several provinces, enhancing its market presence[50][52].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China Resources Power (Ningwu) Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent related to a method for determining the volume of raw coal storage, which aims to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of coal inventory management [1][2] Group 2 - The patent application, published as CN 119831491 A, was filed on December 2024 and involves the use of at least two infrared sensors to accurately measure the height of coal storage [1] - The method allows for the calculation of coal volume based on signals collected from the infrared sensors, ensuring timely alerts for coal replenishment and enhancing operational stability [1] - China Resources Power (Ningwu) Co., Ltd. was established in 2014, is located in Xinzhou City, and primarily engages in electricity and heat production and supply, with a registered capital of 1,047 million RMB [2]