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中金:维持远大医药(00512)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至11.7港元

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wande Pharmaceutical (00512) in 1H25 demonstrates strong anti-risk capabilities, leading to an upward revision of the net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 by 3.3% and 3.4% to HKD 1.91 billion and HKD 2.10 billion respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 18.0x for 2025 and 16.4x for 2026. Given the continuous realization of the company's innovative pipeline, the firm maintains an outperform rating and raises the target price by 21.9% to HKD 11.7, implying a potential upside of 20.6% from the current stock price [1]. Group 1 - The 1H25 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching HKD 6.107 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, and a net profit of HKD 1.169 billion, surpassing forecasts primarily due to higher-than-expected revenue [2]. - The company demonstrated solid operational performance supported by the growth of innovative and barrier products, which accounted for approximately 51% of total revenue in 1H25, up from 36.1% in the same period last year. Excluding the impact of the tenth batch of centralized procurement, revenue in RMB terms grew by about 13.0% year-on-year, indicating sustainable growth [3]. Group 2 - The nuclear medicine segment continued its doubling growth trend, with revenue of HKD 422 million in 1H25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 105.5% after excluding currency effects, primarily driven by the rapid growth of Yigan Tai. Additionally, Yigan Tai received FDA approval for use in primary liver cancer, becoming the first product approved for this indication globally [4]. - The company is making significant progress in its innovative radiolabeled drug conjugate (RDC) pipeline, with TLX-591CDx completing Phase III clinical enrollment and other products entering international multi-center Phase III trials, while the self-developed innovative nuclear drug GPN02006 was showcased at an international conference [4]. Group 3 - The company is advancing the development of STC3141, a potential first-in-class treatment for sepsis, which has completed Phase II clinical trials in both overseas and China, laying the groundwork for global pivotal registration studies. The company is actively exploring various efficient global collaboration models to accelerate the product's market entry [5].