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石药集团(01093.HK):1H25基本符合预期 对外授权有望持续兑现

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance is in line with expectations, showing a decline in revenue and net profit compared to the previous year, but there are signs of potential improvement in the second half of the year [1] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue was 13.273 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.548 billion yuan, down 15.6% year-on-year, while adjusted net profit was 2.320 billion yuan, down 27.9% year-on-year [1] - In 2Q25, the revenue from the pharmaceutical business was 4.747 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 13.7% [1] Business Segments - Revenue from the neurology segment was 1.847 billion yuan, down 27.0% year-on-year, attributed to medical insurance cost control and inventory management [1] - Oncology revenue was 0.498 billion yuan, down 53.5% year-on-year, while anti-infection revenue was 0.735 billion yuan, down 23.2% year-on-year [1] - Cardiovascular revenue was 0.457 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year, and respiratory revenue was 0.250 billion yuan, down 13.5% year-on-year [1] - Digestive metabolism revenue was 0.229 billion yuan, down 31.3% year-on-year, while other fields generated 0.374 billion yuan, up 25.1% year-on-year [1] R&D and Innovation - The company has established eight innovative R&D platforms and is expected to continue monetizing external authorizations [2] - As of now, the company has completed several significant external authorizations with potential milestone payments totaling up to 1.225 billion USD [2] - R&D expenses in 2Q25 were 1.380 billion yuan, accounting for 29.1% of pharmaceutical revenue, indicating a year-on-year increase of 6.2 percentage points [3] - The company's key product, SYS6010 (EGFR ADC), has entered Phase III clinical trials, with expectations for a BLA in 2026 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 20.5x for 2025 and 17.3x for 2026 [3] - The target price has been raised by 51.2% to 13.00 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 23.7% from the current stock price [3]