Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the earnings forecast for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) for 2025 and 2026 largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 20.5x for 2025 and 17.3x for 2026. The target price is raised by 51.2% to HKD 13.00, reflecting an upside potential of 23.7% from the current stock price [1]. Group 1 - The company's 1H25 performance is in line with expectations, reporting revenue of CNY 13.273 billion, a year-on-year decline of 18.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 2.548 billion, down 15.6% [2]. - The prescription drug business continues to face pressure, with 2Q25 prescription drug revenue at CNY 4.747 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.7%. The company anticipates improvement in 2H25 [3]. Group 2 - The company has established eight innovative R&D platforms and is expected to continue monetizing external licensing agreements. Notable agreements include ROR1 ADC with a maximum potential milestone of USD 1.225 billion, and AZ strategic cooperation with a maximum potential milestone of USD 5.22 billion [4]. - R&D investment is increasing, with 2Q25 R&D expenses at CNY 1.38 billion, accounting for 29.1% of prescription drug revenue, which is a year-on-year increase of 6.2 percentage points. The company is making progress in clinical trials for its key product SYS6010 (EGFR ADC) [5].
中金：维持石药集团跑赢行业评级 升目标价至13港元