建发国际集团(01908.HK)：中期业绩扎实兑现 经营管理精进笃行

Core Viewpoint - Company reported a slight outperformance in 1H25 earnings, with revenue growth of 4% year-on-year to 34.2 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 12% to 910 million yuan, driven by improved settlement gross margin and equity ratio [1][2] Financial Performance - The company maintained a healthy financial position with a net debt ratio of 33.4% and a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 4.1 times as of 1H25 [2] - The average financing cost decreased by 39 basis points to 3.17%, marking a historical low [2] - The company did not declare an interim dividend, consistent with its previous dividend policy [1] Land Acquisition Strategy - In 1H25, the company acquired 26 plots of land for a total cost of 49.5 billion yuan, achieving a land acquisition intensity of 70% [1] - The majority of new land acquisitions are located in top-tier cities, with approximately 80% of the new value coming from cities like Beijing, Hangzhou, Shanghai, Chengdu, and Xiamen [1] - The company’s strategy prioritizes liquidity while also considering profit margins, with estimated net profit margins for new land projects in 1H25 expected to be around 7-9% [1] Sales and Market Position - The company ranked sixth in total sales amount in 1H25, improving one position from 2024, with total supply estimated at 160-170 billion yuan [2] - The company plans to launch over 100 billion yuan in new supply in 2H25, aiming to achieve its annual sales target of 150 billion yuan [2] Growth Outlook - The company expects steady growth in overall performance for the year, with a significant amount of unsold inventory and a robust settlement resource pool [3] - The estimated settlement amount for the year is expected to remain stable, with profit margins improving year-on-year [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025 while slightly raising the 2026 profit forecast by 2% to 5.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10% and 8% respectively [3] - The target price has been increased by 7% to 21.4 HKD, indicating an upside potential of 16% [3]