帮主郑重聊美股：周一收跌别慌！英伟达财报+美联储动向才是本周重头戏

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a slight decline on Monday after reaching a historical high on Friday, with the Dow Jones dropping less than 1%, the Nasdaq down 0.22%, and the S&P 500 falling 0.43% [3][5] - The market is currently awaiting key events, specifically Nvidia's earnings report on Wednesday and the PCE inflation data on Friday, which are seen as critical indicators for market direction [3][5] Nvidia's Impact - Nvidia's stock rose by 1% on a day when the broader market declined, highlighting its status as a leading AI chip manufacturer and a significant component of the S&P 500, with a market capitalization of $4 trillion [3][4] - Analysts are optimistic about Nvidia's upcoming earnings, with Stifel raising its target price to $212, indicating a potential 19% upside, as the results are expected to influence market confidence in AI investments [3][4] Government Involvement - The U.S. government has acquired a 10% stake in Intel, marking a significant shift in policy as this type of intervention in private enterprises has been rare since the 2008 financial crisis [4] - This move has sparked debate within the industry, with some experts suggesting it represents a major transformation in U.S. economic policy [4] Federal Reserve and Inflation Data - Following dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the market is currently pricing in an 84% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with expectations of cumulative cuts reaching 100 basis points by mid-next year [5] - The upcoming PCE data is crucial, with expectations for core PCE to rise by 2.9% year-over-year, which could influence the Fed's decision on interest rates [5] Sector Performance - Chinese concept stocks showed resilience on Monday, with notable gains from companies like NetEase and Baidu, while others like NIO and Bilibili experienced declines [5] - Gold prices fell slightly by 0.19%, but the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index reached a new closing high, while oil prices saw a modest increase [5]