HENDERSON LAND(HK:00012) Ge Long Hui·2025-08-26 07:12Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has downgraded the earnings per share (EPS) forecast for Hang Lung Properties for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 8% due to underperformance in mid-term results and updated expectations regarding property development project pre-sales, completion timelines, rental income, and occupancy rates [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - The EPS forecast for Hang Lung Properties for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 has been reduced by 8% [1] - The current dividend forecast remains unchanged at HKD 1.8 per share for the same period [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The target price for Hang Lung Properties has been lowered from HKD 31 to HKD 30, reflecting a net asset value discount of approximately 50% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from a stabilization in Hong Kong property prices and improved market sentiment, particularly with anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 3: Rental Income and Sales - Stable rental income, dividends from Hong Kong and China Gas, accelerated land recovery, improved residential sales in the second half of the year, and support from major shareholders are expected to sustain dividend distributions [1] - It is projected that Hong Kong residential property prices will remain flat this year, while office and retail rental rates may decline by 5% year-on-year [1]