Cambricon(SH:688256) Hu Xiu·2025-08-26 23:47Group 1 - The A-share market is currently experiencing a bull market, with continuous daily increases and widespread discussions about stock profits [1] - Historical patterns indicate that past bull markets in A-shares have often ended in significant downturns, suggesting caution despite current optimism [2][3] - The market's tendency towards short-lived bull markets and prolonged bear markets is attributed to its inherent mechanisms, which have reverted to speculative behaviors reminiscent of past trends [4][5] Group 2 - Investors are often lured into a false sense of security during bull markets, leading to a loss of self-awareness and rational decision-making [7] - Three major illusions can mislead investors: attributing short-term gains to personal skill, ignoring fundamental valuation principles, and succumbing to herd mentality [8] Group 3 - Historical examples of major bull markets, such as Japan's in the 1980s and the U.S. during the internet bubble, illustrate the potential for severe market corrections following periods of rapid growth [10][12][15] - The A-share market has seen significant volatility, with past bull markets leading to dramatic declines, highlighting the risks associated with high valuations [16][18] Group 4 - Current market trends show a significant overvaluation in sectors like AI and technology, with companies like Cambricon facing scrutiny over their financial health and competitive positioning compared to global leaders like NVIDIA [20][25] - Cambricon's reliance on future expectations and government support raises concerns about its sustainability and ability to compete effectively in the market [26][28] Group 5 - The investment landscape is characterized by a "barbell" structure, with low-valuation, high-dividend stocks on one end and high-valuation, story-driven stocks on the other, suggesting a need for careful asset allocation [30]