Nvidia(US:NVDA) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-27 12:05Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's upcoming quarterly earnings report is expected to cause significant volatility in global stock markets, with options traders predicting a 100% chance of "super volatility news" impacting the market [1]. Group 1: Earnings Impact - Nvidia's earnings report is crucial for the continuation of the global stock market bull run, with Wall Street expecting a 48% year-over-year increase in earnings per share to $1.01 and a 54% increase in revenue to approximately $46.1 billion [5][6]. - The company's market capitalization is projected to experience a potential change of about $260 billion following the earnings announcement, which could influence the broader market direction [1][2]. - Analysts have raised their earnings expectations for Nvidia, with some predicting revenues as high as $55 billion for Q3, reflecting optimism about AI infrastructure demand [5][7]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Volatility - The implied volatility surrounding Nvidia's stock is significant, with traders pricing in a potential 6% price movement post-earnings, which is lower than the long-term average of 7% [2][8]. - Nvidia's stock has added approximately $2 trillion in market value since early April, driven by strong performance and investor sentiment regarding AI [10][11]. - The upcoming earnings report is considered one of the largest risk factors for the market, surpassing other economic indicators such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [8][12]. Group 3: China Market Concerns - Nvidia faces uncertainty regarding its sales in the Chinese market, particularly with the introduction of government regulations affecting AI chip sales [12][16]. - Analysts are divided on the revenue guidance from Nvidia concerning the Chinese market, highlighting a significant range in revenue forecasts for Q3 [13][16]. - The complexity of the regulatory environment in China adds to the unpredictability of Nvidia's earnings outlook, with potential implications for its stock performance and broader market trends [16][17].