Investment Highlights - The company is covered for the first time by CICC with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 102.91, based on DCF valuation, positioning it as a leading innovative biopharmaceutical enterprise in China [1] - The company has adopted a dual strategy of innovation and internationalization, achieving domestic and international approvals for 6 and 4 products respectively by the end of 2024, establishing itself as a leader in domestic biopharmaceuticals [1] - Revenue has grown significantly from CNY 91 million in 2019 to CNY 5.724 billion, with a CAGR of 129%, while overseas revenue increased from CNY 2.62 million to CNY 678 million, expected to account for 11.9% of total revenue in 2024 [1] Innovation Pipeline - The company has developed a diverse innovation pipeline covering approximately 50 molecules, focusing on cutting-edge areas such as monoclonal antibodies, multi-antibodies, and ADCs [1] - HLX43 is the world's first PD-L1 ADC to enter clinical phase II, offering safety and competitive advantages, with low hematologic toxicity supporting its future use in first-line treatments and combination immunotherapy [1] - HLX22 has entered phase III international multicenter clinical trials for first-line treatment of advanced gastric cancer, with expectations to redefine standard therapies based on efficacy and safety data [1] Biosimilar Development - The company has a rich pipeline of biosimilars, leveraging first-mover advantages in the domestic market, with smooth commercialization progress anticipated [2] - It is expected that the domestic biosimilar procurement price reduction will be rational, allowing the company to achieve volume-based pricing [2] - The company has made strides in internationalization, with overseas revenue from Hanquyou reaching approximately CNY 120 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of nearly 30%, and FDA approval achieved [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s EPS is projected to be CNY 1.46 and CNY 1.55 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a CAGR of 1.2% [2] - Using a DCF valuation method with a WACC of 9.0% and a perpetual growth rate of 2.0%, the reasonable valuation for 2025 corresponds to a target price of HKD 102.91, implying an upside potential of 28.6% [2]
复宏汉霖(02696.HK)：PD-L1ADC引领全球 生物类似药出海加速