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国金证券:双重驱动AI医疗行业发展 持续看好兼具技术壁垒、落地应用能力以及明确商业化路径的公司

Core Insights - The investment value in AI healthcare will focus on companies that can deeply integrate advanced technologies with specific clinical scenarios and clearly quantify their product value [1][2][4] - The AI healthcare industry in China is transitioning through three stages: informatization (before 2014), internetization (2014-2020), and smartization (2021-present), driven by technological iterations [2][3] - The market size of AI healthcare has expanded from 2.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 10.7 billion yuan in 2023, with projections to reach 97.6 billion yuan by 2028, indicating a growing penetration rate [2][3] Industry Development - The demand for AI in healthcare is driven by the aging population and the increasing need for medical services, alongside the concentration of quality medical resources in top hospitals [3] - The challenges in the healthcare sector include high complexity of diseases, misdiagnosis risks, and inefficient hospital operations, which AI technologies can help address [3] - AI technologies, particularly breakthroughs in large model capabilities, are enhancing the acceptance of AI in healthcare and improving diagnostic accuracy and efficiency [3][4] Market Dynamics - The application maturity of AI Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS) is high, with significant market potential due to strong data integration capabilities and high technical adaptability [2][3] - The early exploration of IBM Watson in AI healthcare serves as a case study, highlighting the clinical demand for AI tools despite its eventual commercial challenges [4]