BOCIC(SH:601696) 2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-08-28 23:12Core Viewpoint - The current low interest rate environment in China presents both opportunities and challenges for the high-quality development of the capital market, necessitating reforms to support economic transformation and wealth growth [1][3][4]. Interest Rate Trends - Major policy and market interest rates are on a downward trend, but the transmission effect of low rates on the capital market is weaker than expected, leading to pressure on the market and insufficient stock financing [3][4]. - The contrast between the declining interest rates and the capital market's response indicates a pessimistic economic outlook, which affects corporate financing primarily through bank credit rather than the bond market [3][4]. Market Structure Analysis - Different market structures yield varying impacts from interest rate adjustments; for instance, the U.S. has a higher proportion of direct financing, allowing low rates to boost risk asset prices effectively, while Japan and Europe face constraints due to a balanced financing structure [3][4]. - The supply constraints in the banking system, rather than a lack of monetary policy easing, hinder effective policy transmission [3][4]. Policy Support for Capital Markets - The Chinese government is actively supporting the capital market through various policies, including the "New National Nine Articles" and the "1+N" policy framework, aimed at enhancing market attractiveness and stability [3][4]. - Recent regulatory measures, such as the "Science and Technology Innovation Eight Articles" and "Mergers and Acquisitions Six Articles," provide institutional support for the capital market to serve the real economy [4][5]. Role of Capital Markets in Economic Development - Capital markets are essential for promoting a virtuous cycle among industry, technology, and capital, which is crucial for achieving technological self-reliance [4]. - The capital market can facilitate the transformation of both emerging and traditional industries through financing and restructuring, thereby unlocking value in the existing economy [4][5]. Challenges for Asset Management - Asset management institutions face significant challenges in navigating market cycles and effectively allocating assets to achieve favorable returns for investors [5]. - The certainty of asset valuation recovery in China tests both individual investors' long-term investment philosophies and asset managers' capabilities in asset allocation [5].