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中金:维持森松国际跑赢行业评级 升目标价至12港元

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment of 27.7% in the 2025 net profit forecast for Sensong International (02155) to 740 million yuan, with the introduction of a 2026 net profit estimate of 937 million yuan. The valuation has shifted to 2026 due to the time required for project revenue recognition, with the current stock price corresponding to an 11.8x P/E ratio for 2026. The target price has been raised by 50% to HKD 12.00, reflecting a 22.0% upside potential from the current stock price [1]. Group 1 - The 1H25 performance met market expectations, with revenue of 2.687 billion yuan, down 22.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 340 million yuan, down 10.1% year-on-year. This performance is attributed to a 9-14 month order confirmation cycle and a 23% decline in new orders last year, along with a 10% decrease in orders on hand [2]. - The net profit margin continues to improve, showcasing robust profitability. The gross margin for the first half was 29.4%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 12.6%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance were 3.2%, 11.1%, 4.2%, and 0.2%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +0.9 percentage points, +3.5 percentage points, -2.1 percentage points, and flat [3]. - New orders in the pharmaceutical sector exceeded expectations, with total new orders of 5.996 billion yuan, up 89.5% year-on-year. Pharmaceutical new orders reached 4.372 billion yuan, up 642% year-on-year. The backlog of orders reached a historical high of 10.566 billion yuan, up 20.4% year-on-year, with overseas orders accounting for 92.8% of new orders [4]. Group 2 - The multinational platform layout is yielding results, with continuous improvement in high-tech industry positioning. The company is advancing in AI, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, with rapid global demand growth in the pharmaceutical sector. The AI sector is expected to enter a new growth cycle for modular data centers, while the demand for high-end products in the wet electronic chemicals sector is driven by advanced process evolution and new energy needs [5].