Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in 1H25, with revenue growth of 27.0% year-on-year, driven by significant expansion in non-first-tier cities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue reached 2.593 billion yuan, with first-tier cities growing by 7.2% to 1.085 billion yuan and non-first-tier cities growing by 46.6% to 1.509 billion yuan [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 79.6% to 91 million yuan, with an adjusted net profit margin up by 1.0 percentage points to 3.5% [1] - The number of stores increased by 190 to 1,198, with a net increase of 6 stores in first-tier cities and 184 in non-first-tier cities [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Same-store sales declined by 1.0%, and average daily sales per store decreased by 4.4% to 12,915 yuan, primarily due to a high base from the previous year [1] - Despite the decline in same-store revenue, single-store performance remains healthy, with new stores opened after December 2022 achieving average daily sales of 17,438 yuan, 35% higher than the overall average [1] - New markets and stores continue to show strong performance, with 64 stores in 15 new markets achieving average daily sales of 47,102 yuan and an average payback period of 11 months [1] Group 3: Expansion Strategy - The company plans to open approximately 300 new stores in 2025, with 190 already opened in 1H25 and an additional 43 opened by August 15 [2] - The expansion strategy considers regional brand strength, consumer demand, supply chain capabilities, and potential return on investment [2] - The company aims for 20-30% of new stores to be located in cities entered by the end of 2022, and 40-50% in cities entered between late 2022 and 2025 [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 12% and 10% to 227 million yuan and 316 million yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to adjusted P/E ratios of 45x for 2025 and 32x for 2026 [2] - The target price is maintained at 112 HKD, reflecting an upside potential of 34% based on adjusted P/E ratios of 60x for 2025 and 43x for 2026 [2]
达势股份(01405.HK)：单店表现健康 短期同店下滑不改长期势能