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批零社服行业2026年投资策略:景气向上,把握修复+成长双主线
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-15 01:32
Core Insights - The report emphasizes two main investment directions for 2026: recovery sectors focusing on profit inflection points and growth sectors targeting high revenue increases [4][19][20] Recovery Sectors - The duty-free sector is showing signs of recovery with favorable policies enhancing consumption, including expanded product categories and improved shopping convenience [4][19] - The hotel industry is expected to see a gradual improvement in RevPAR, with business and leisure demand stabilizing, indicating a potential operational turning point in Q4 or next year [4][19] - The tourism sector remains resilient despite macroeconomic pressures, with increasing travel volumes and government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption in various travel themes [4][19] Growth Sectors - The beauty industry is experiencing intensified competition, with a focus on channel value reconstruction and brand establishment [4][20] - The gold and jewelry sector is witnessing a recovery, driven by new product launches and an increasing focus on high-end market competition [4][20] - The cross-border e-commerce sector is expected to rebound, supported by stable policies and a decrease in shipping costs, with strong demand from the U.S. market [4][20] Key Company Recommendations - For duty-free, China Duty Free Group is recommended for its long-term growth potential, with attention to Wangfujing and Zhuhai Duty Free Group [4] - In the hotel sector, companies like Jinjiang Hotels, Atour, and Huazhu are highlighted for their growth prospects [4] - In tourism, companies such as Three Gorges Tourism and Changbai Mountain are suggested for monitoring acquisition and new business developments [4] - The beauty sector includes recommendations for brands like Maogeping and Proya, focusing on channel strategies [4] - For gold and jewelry, companies like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Pu Gold are recommended for their market positioning [4] - In retail, companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Xinhua Department Store are noted for their recovery potential [4]
中央经济工作会议解读:内需主导放在首位,关注消费布局机会
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific industry rating but emphasizes a positive outlook for the food and beverage sector based on the central economic work conference's focus on domestic demand and consumption opportunities [5][6]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference highlighted the importance of domestic demand, aiming to boost consumption through various initiatives, including income distribution reforms and the removal of unreasonable consumption restrictions, which is expected to benefit the food and beverage sector [6][7]. - The report suggests that the food and beverage industry could see structural opportunities in 2026, driven by high-growth companies and favorable policy directions [7]. Sub-industry Ratings - No specific ratings are provided for sub-industries such as liquor, beverages, and food [3]. - Recommended companies include: - Guizhou Moutai: Buy - Shanxi Fenjiu: Hold - Guming: Buy - Mixue Group: Hold - Ximai Food: Buy - Dongpeng Beverage: Buy - Wancheng Group: Buy - Pop Mart: Buy - Yanjing Beer: Hold - Dashihua: Buy [3][11]. Recommended Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report includes earnings forecasts for recommended companies, indicating expected growth in EPS from 2024 to 2027 for each company, with Guizhou Moutai projected to have an EPS of 80.79 in 2027 [11].
港股收评:指数集体上扬!大金融股、黄金股走强,药品股低迷
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 09:01
12月12日,受中央经济工作会议重磅利好消息影响,市场情绪明显回暖,港股三大指数集体收涨,恒生指数涨1.75%盘中重回26000点,国企指数、恒生科 技指数分别上涨1.62%及1.87%。 盘面上,大型科技股集体上涨助力市场上行,网易涨超4%,腾讯控股、阿里巴巴涨超2%,小米、百度、京东、快手涨超1%;电力设备股走强,东方电气涨 超13%;大金融股(银行、保险、券商)亦全线上涨,中国太保、中信证券、中国银河、交通银行涨幅靠前,香港本地股银行股渣打集团、汇丰控股再度刷新 历史新高,汇丰市值更是站上2万亿港元;白银、黄金价格继续飙涨,黄金股活跃,中国白银集团涨近6%;餐饮股、内房股因政策利好飘红,影视股、航空 航天、乳制品、脑机接口概念、手游股等纷纷上涨。 另一方面,药品板块下挫,海普瑞跌超7%;环保、铁路及公路、国内零售股、烟草、油气生产商等少数板块下跌。 | | | | 汽车 | 地产发展商 +1.58% | 發品 -0.59% | 服装 +0.60% | 互动购 +1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行 +0.53% | 线上零售 ...
西部证券:推荐餐饮业短期扩张与长期稳健低估标的 关注经营改善与扩张期高估标的
智通财经网· 2025-12-12 03:59
一、服务消费政策主要方向,餐饮有望重点受益 智通财经APP获悉,西部证券发布研报称,推荐餐饮业短期扩张与长期稳健低估标的,关注经营改善与 扩张期高估标的。该行认为需重点关注的标的有:1)凭借长期持续迭代的运营能力具备穿越周期能力的 百胜中国(09987);2)门店扩张期且具备较强团队及供应链运营能力的小菜园(00999);3)处于调整改革期但 团队仍有较强执行力的海底捞(06862);4)赛道空间大且门店高势能扩张的达势股份(01405)。 西部证券主要观点如下: 日本头部餐企经营周期长,快餐连锁业态占比高,正餐、居酒屋亦跑出龙头。该行梳理下行期日本餐饮 板块三大变化为:1)极致性价比与消费者体验的平衡,价格的极致压缩需以维护甚至提高消费者体验为 前提,对餐企战略平衡与执行能力均提出较高要求。2)供应链与门店极致效率带来高店效,但我国标准 化复杂与困难程度更高。3)多品类融合形成餐饮巨头,便于实现供应链协同、运营能力复用及多消费群 体触及。 消费提振重点明确,"服务消费"政策持续加码。今年9月商务部等提出扩大服务消费5大方向19条具体措 施,餐饮为服务消费季活动核心内容。 风险提示:食品安全风险;消费力持续下 ...
达势股份因股份期权获行使而发行3.12万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 10:57
达势股份(01405)发布公告,于2025年12月5日,根据2022年首次公开发售前计划的股份期权而发行3.12 万股普通股股份。 ...
达势股份(01405)因股份期权获行使而发行3.12万股
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 10:48
智通财经APP讯,达势股份(01405)发布公告,于2025年12月5日,根据2022年首次公开发售前计划的股 份期权而发行3.12万股普通股股份。 ...
达势股份(01405) - 翌日披露报表
2025-12-05 10:43
FF305 第 2 頁 共 6 頁 v 1.3.0 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 达势股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月5日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) 01405 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 已 ...
达势股份(01405) - 截至二零二五年十一月三十日止之股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2025-12-03 08:47
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | | | 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 达势股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01405 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 500,000,000 | USD | | 1 | USD | | 500,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 500,000,000 | USD | | 1 | USD | | 500,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額: USD 500,000,000 第 1 ...
达美乐成下沉市场“排队王”?回应称今年开店目标已完成约100%
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 05:57
在国内的披萨市场中,达美乐近些年来成了"排队王",备受热捧的同时也实现了快速发展。 | | | 截至6月30日止六個月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 變動(%)/ | | | 2025年 | 2024年 | 白分點愛動 | | | (人民幣千元) | (人民幣千元) | | | | (未經審核) | (未經審核) | | | 收入 | 2,593,390 | 2,041,461 | 27.0% | | 門店層面的經營利潤() | 379,188 | 296,155 | 28.0% | | 門店層面的經營利潤率(2) | 14.6% | 14.5% | +0.1 | | 除所得税前利潤 | 110,097 | 40.894 | 169.2% | | 本公司擁有人應佔期內利潤 | 65,924 | 10,907 | 504.4% | | 每股基本盈利(人民幣元) | 0.50 | 0.08 | 525.0% | | 每股攤薄盈利(人民幣元) | 0.49 | 0.08 | 512.5% | | 非國際財務報告準則計量 | | | | | 門店層面EBITDA(3) | ...
达势股份因股份期权获行使而发行8.44万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 12:59
达势股份(01405)发布公告,于2025年11月28日根据2022年首次公开发售前计划的股份期权而发行8.44万 股普通股股份。 ...