机构大行给予蒙牛“买入”评级

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports is that after a short-term adjustment, Mengniu's current valuation is attractive, and there is optimism about its future performance, leading to "buy" ratings from various investment institutions [1][2][3] - Citigroup's report indicates that Mengniu's profit for the first half of 2025 increased by 13% year-on-year, while revenue decreased by 7%, primarily due to weaker raw milk prices, which compressed revenue but improved gross margin by 1.4 percentage points to 41.7% [1] - Goldman Sachs highlights that Mengniu's core operating profit grew by 13%, with a core operating margin of 8.5%, exceeding their expectation of 7.6%, driven by lower raw milk costs and strict control of sales expenses [1] Group 2 - Huachuang Securities notes that external demand pressures have impacted revenue, but the company's inventory is relatively healthy, and cost control measures are yielding results, suggesting a potential recovery in profitability in the second half of the year [2] - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan shows that Mengniu's fresh milk business achieved over 20% growth in the first half of the year, with expanding market share, while the infant formula segment also saw revenue growth, particularly with Bellamy's exceeding 20% [2] - Huatai Securities emphasizes that Mengniu's diversified business continues to progress, with strong performance in overseas markets, and anticipates a recovery in liquid milk demand, particularly during the upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays [2][3] Group 3 - Huachuang Securities believes that Mengniu's product innovation and dual-channel strategy are beginning to show results, with a focus on operational quality and manageable cost investments [3] - Shenwan Hongyuan asserts that as a leading player in the domestic dairy industry, Mengniu possesses core competitiveness across various dimensions, and under the new strategic guidance, it is expected to achieve sustainable growth in the medium to long term [3] - The institutions express that Mengniu's structural innovations in product categories will drive revenue growth while optimizing income structure, and the management's active share buybacks indicate confidence in the company's future [3]