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中金:维持百融云-W跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至14.8港元

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bairong Cloud-W (06608) for 2025 and 2026, considering uncertainties in business operations due to regulatory tightening in the second half of the year. The target price is raised by 15% to HKD 14.8, reflecting a 20% upside potential based on adjusted P/E ratios of 19.6x and 15.3x for 2025 and 2026 respectively [1] Group 1 - Bairong Cloud's non-GAAP net profit for 1H25 exceeded CICC's expectations, with revenue increasing by 22% year-on-year to CNY 1.61 billion and gross profit also up by 22% to CNY 1.18 billion, resulting in a gross margin of 73.4% [2] - The non-GAAP net profit for 1H25 rose by 29% year-on-year to CNY 254 million, with a net profit margin of 15.8%, driven by the rapid growth in the financial industry's cloud supply and demand [2] Group 2 - The MaaS business showed a double-digit growth recovery, with revenue increasing by 19% year-on-year to CNY 502 million, and a customer retention rate of 98% [3] - The average revenue per customer increased by 14% year-on-year to CNY 2.28 million, indicating strong growth potential as the company plans to expand its product applications into non-financial sectors [3] Group 3 - The BaaS service revenue grew by 23% year-on-year to CNY 1.1 billion, with the financial industry cloud segment achieving a 45% increase in revenue to CNY 857 million, accounting for 77% of BaaS revenue [4] - The growth in the BaaS segment is attributed to improved cost conversion efficiency and increased client budget allocations, while the insurance industry cloud revenue declined by 19% year-on-year to CNY 253 million due to regulatory impacts [4]