Goldman Sachs(US:GS) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-02 03:57Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that the July core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index met market expectations, but the unexpected widening of the goods trade deficit led to a downward revision of the U.S. third-quarter economic growth forecast [1] - The July core PCE price index increased by 0.27% month-on-month and rose to 2.88% year-on-year, aligning with Goldman Sachs' previous predictions and market expectations [1] - The overall PCE price index rose by 0.20% month-on-month and increased to 2.60% year-on-year, consistent with Goldman Sachs and market forecasts [1] Group 2 - In July, U.S. personal income grew by 0.4% month-on-month, driven by increases in employment compensation, owner income, rental income, and asset income [3] - Personal spending also showed strong performance, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5%, slightly above Goldman Sachs' forecast [3] - The savings rate in July remained at 4.4%, a slight decrease from the previously reported June figure of 4.5% [3] Group 3 - The U.S. goods trade deficit widened significantly in July, expanding by $18.7 billion to $103.6 billion, exceeding Goldman Sachs and market expectations [4] - The widening deficit was primarily due to a $18.6 billion increase in imports, while exports saw a slight decrease [4] - Goldman Sachs emphasized that the unexpected trade deficit is the main reason for the downward adjustment of the third-quarter GDP tracking estimate by 0.2 percentage points to 1.6% [4]