Workflow
云顶新耀(1952.HK)：产能释放促耐赋康销售超预期 自研逐步进入收获期；上调目标价
EVEREST MEDEVEREST MED(HK:01952) Ge Long Hui·2025-09-02 11:15

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong sales growth for its product, Naisfukang, following capacity expansion, leading to an upward revision of sales guidance and reflecting confidence in clinical data and commercialization capabilities [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 48% year-on-year to 446 million RMB, with Naisfukang sales growing by 81% to 303 million RMB [1] - After capacity constraints were resolved, Naisfukang's sales surged to 522 million RMB in August, contributing to a total sales figure of 825 million RMB from January to August [1] - The management has raised the annual sales target for Naisfukang to 1.2-1.4 billion RMB, with total product sales expected to reach 1.6-1.8 billion RMB [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - The company expects to achieve operational breakeven in the second half of 2025, earlier than previously anticipated [1] - The net loss for the first half of 2025 narrowed significantly by 61% to 250 million RMB, attributed to strong sales performance and stable SG&A expense ratios [1] Group 3: Product Pipeline and Future Prospects - The company is set to commercialize its third product, Aicuo Mod, which is anticipated to be approved in the first half of 2026 for ulcerative colitis, with a projected peak sales of 5 billion RMB [2] - The self-developed pipeline includes EVER001, targeting autoimmune kidney diseases, with global sales peak expected to exceed 10 billion RMB [2] - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2026-2027 upwards by 16-18%, reflecting optimism in operational expense ratios and potential catalysts in the pipeline [2] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The target price has been raised to 84 HKD from 72.5 HKD, corresponding to a 2.1 times revenue peak sales multiple [2] - The current valuation remains attractive, with multiple catalysts expected in the second half of 2025 and 2026, including product approvals and commercialization efforts [2]