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燕之屋(01497.HK):1H25收入表现略有承压 得益于费用控制 利润表现超预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a net profit of 75.26 million yuan for 1H25, exceeding expectations due to effective cost control and a low profit base from the previous year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue for 1H25 was 1.015 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.22%, while net profit increased by 29.58% [1] - Online channel revenue was 632 million yuan, down 1.3% year-on-year, while offline channel revenue was 382 million yuan, down 8.8% [1] - The core product, bird's nest porridge, saw sales of 43.82 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.3% year-on-year [1] Cost and Margin Insights - The company achieved a slight increase in gross margin by 3.5 percentage points, with a reduction in sales expense ratio by 1.6 percentage points [1] - The tax rate increased from 23.0% to 29.6% year-on-year, influenced by profit growth and sales expense tax deductions [1] Future Outlook - The company is actively adjusting its offline business and maintaining a strong online presence, which is expected to benefit from a potential recovery in macro consumption [1] - Long-term strategies focus on consolidating competitive advantages through multiple channels for sustainable growth [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downwards by 3.0% and 7.8% to 168 million yuan and 192 million yuan respectively [2] - The target price remains at 7.7 HKD, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 19.7 for 2025 and 17.0 for 2026 [2]